MillvilleWx

A well forecast shallacking back at Mi casa in North Frederick. 2.69” for the event. It was dumping buckets for hours between 6 and when I went to bed at 9pm. Judging by radar, it went on for a couple more hours. The region needed this one. Love to see it!

To me, this is hands down the most important aspect of the whole forecast for winter. As long as that STJ stays active and brings precip into the area, we will have multiple chances. I’m not expecting a blockbuster winter here (Foreshadow for my snowfall contest prediction later this week), but I expect several chances at precip and timing cold will be key. As of now, I am encouraged with what I see. No, I’m not through the moon, I am cautiously optimistic. It is mid to late November… a lot of season ahead, including peak winter which for us isn’t for another 1.5 months. Patience is a virtue everyone. Enjoy the holidays and keep an eye on short term threats, but I wouldn’t even start tracking long range for another month yet imho. Keep the faith guys!

Big W tonight, but it wasn’t without a big blow. Andrews done for season. Next man up! Need the WR room to step up, as well as Likely and Kollar. Likely has shown flashes, but he’s also shown he can get lost out there. Need him to step into the role.

One thing I miss about Texas is the BBQ, Jeb. Man, they can make some killer brisket and BBQ in general down in those parts. Holy cow, literally

Got a chance to meet and hang out with @WxWatcher007 this evening and it was a blast. I certainly want to meet more in here in the future. Tonight was so great! PS: If you've never been to El Sapo in Silver Spring, you have to go! Authentic Cuban cuisine that will knock your taste buds out. Outstanding

Pretty cool data here. Graphic showing the frequency of certain high/low patterns. Jared Rennie is a great source for cool climate and weather info. Give him a follow! IAD/BWI/DCA Temps

Low of 27° this morning in north Frederick. First hard freeze of the season.

So close to the 30s with 40° for the low. It did get to the 30s in the lower elevation spots to my north. It was 43° when I left for work, but it fell further prior to sunrise. Great start to the day. Happy Halloween everyone!

You can always make a revised version in a month after new data. No one would fault you for it. I for one appreciate new insight after seeing the new data. Textbook long range forecasting.

Truth. I was enjoying the fall weather before this crap moved in.

I just like seeing a continuation of coastal development along the east coast. I’m not expecting anything significant for a while, but with persistent troughing east of the Mississippi showing up on ensembles we could sneak something. Still so early climo wise. I won’t get excited until it’s basically on the doorstep.

Hi of 83° after a low of 54° Really looking forward to this cold front!

Went to Denizen’s after work yesterday in Hyattsville. Had a few seasonal cocktails, but their beer menu was pretty jam packed with good stuff you’d approve of. Food was solid too. If you’re ever in the beltway area, highly recommend.

Beautiful morning today. Everyone make a it a great one!

Don’t get my hopes up

What a series of microclimates near me. Low was around 47° on top of the hill I live on. There is a community kind of tucked into a little valley less than 1 mile from me that hit 40°. Impressive Another warm one today. Actually gorgeous for a nice afternoon walk.

34° for the low in north Frederick. Felt fantastic

Just catching up in here. Had a busy but very fun weekend with the wife. Got off nights Thursday AM, then turned around after 1 full day off to work some OT (My choice), then traveled to PA for a Fall get together at a friends place. Had a blast. Woke up next morning and my wife and I went to the Ravens game. That was also very fun After the game, went to Pizza John’s, my favorite pizza in the universe and something I haven’t had in years. I got to spend a lot of time with my wife which I cherish with our work schedules. Overall it was such a great weekend. Today I helped move some stuff at the in-laws, some of which my wife and I are “inheriting”. Also came home with some Remy, Don Julio, and Hennessy that my in-laws didn’t want. All in all, a fantastic time. Need to host a get together at our place sometime. Our bar area is pretty stacked

Solid write up by DT. I agree with a lot of his assessment. We have been talking about how this El Niño is not behaving like typical past events at the office which leads me to believe there will likely be some surprises in the future. As per usual, the first part of late-fall/early-winter will be pretty Ho-hum around here. As the wavelengths shorten, things could get pretty interesting. I do think we get on the board by Christmas, but I wouldn’t be surprised if we got nothing until January.

Only 0.10” at mi casa yesterday Temps only in the low 60s at their peak. Today should be nice, but getting breezier as that low starts to crank. Hope who all got rain enjoyed it. Not much on the horizon this week after this one.

Hi of 62° after a low of 50° this morning. You know it’s October when you’re rocking 12 degree diurnals. Clouds helped the night shift sleeping efforts. One more of these after tonight. Anyone planning on going leaf peeping this weekend or next week? I’m probably going to head out on Monday into the Catoctins on my day off. Should be nice and quiet with the weather settling as well.

A beautiful day again in my neck of the woods. Hi of 61° Low of 43° Some of the nearby neighborhoods that are more tucked away hit the upper 30s nearby. Little micro-climates showing themselves in these calm, cold nights.

Update on my rain total for the event. 0.73” here in N Frederick High of 62° today with a low of 47°. Current at 57° Glad we got some much needed rain.

I’m in Northeast Frederick, the city. I’m the last bastion of Frederick though. I’m not far from Walkersville.

After a low of 48° today, high went up into the low 70’s once again. Went for a walk after my sleep for the day and it was fantastic. Looking wet for tomorrow. Wife and I are going to a graduation party in the afternoon for her friend getting their Doctorate, then shoving off to work. Tomorrow morning and Sunday morning will be fantastic to get some sleep for nights. I’m thoroughly looking forward to the string of early fall weather this coming week. Temps are fantastic. We have the HVAC on off till further notice.