MillvilleWx

Missed the Caps game due to work, but was following along. Need to tighten up 3rd periods, but they did play fast and got the job done. Ovi is on a mission it seems, I love it!! Let’s Go Caps!

Damnit, I miss all the “fun”

He might be a dead prospect, which is absolutely nothing the Orioles can do about it. They can’t foresee it when they draft. It’s just insane the terrible pitching luck this team has had. Felix last year along with Bradish and Wells. This year…..everyone that is good

What a difference an elevation makes. 38F down by the Bay and low-30s not far inland. It was a nice and crisp morning. I dig it

Sunday and Monday will end up being the cooler days when assessing the Fri-Mon time frame. The frontal effects will be most felt across the northern half of the region with a pretty sharp delineation somewhere bisecting Central MD. I can see it making it as far as the Potomac, so basically a lean to climo. 70s and 80s for Fri-Sat, 60s and 70s for Sun-Mon. Can't say I hate it. I'll take that over 40s and 50s any day.

Question on how the backdoor front idea plays out Sunday-Tuesday next week, but this Friday and Saturday look great. I work, but I get off earlier on that desk, so I’m gonna get out and enjoy it.

That place is heaven. One of the best spots at the beach, bar none!

Well, despite a very cool, damp, misty morning in Dewey Beach…the 5K was a massive success for myself. A personal PR for 3 miles and it was actually 3.1 for the full 5K (49 min 20 seconds: 49.202 to be exact ) As a walker, this was sub 16 min pacing, something I was working towards for months. I could not be happier. I’m not a runner and might never be one, but distance walking is my thing. I’ll be looking for more of these events in the future. Time to relax for the rest of the day.

1.93” at my place for the event with on and off light precip pivoting through. At the shore at my parents place partaking in the Coastal Delaware Run Festival. 5K this morning will be cool and damp, but should be fun. Have a great day everyone!

Honestly, it's just incredibly bad luck. Northern stream dominance likely plays some part because in the grand scheme of synoptics, widespread moisture advection is typically best when influenced with some southern stream jet dynamics. It's just incredibly bad luck over the past several years. Not really much else to note off the top of my head.

That's a Wx type specification part of the grid process. Since there is TECHNICALLY some minor elevated convective element that would provide some "burst" components, they probably kept it as the output. I personally would've went with just stratiform rain, but that's the difference from forecaster to forecaster.

Definitely a tight corridor of heavy rainfall across the area. Currently at 0.91" at mi casa, 0.66" at the office, and totals <0.1" west of Rockville. The western edge should expand a little bit as we move into the evening and overnight, but I doubt it gets much further west than Parrs Ridge zone in NoVA up through MoCo/HoCO/Carroll. Tough luck for those areas to the west as they really could use some precip as well. Sigh. I forecasted yesterday and ended up tightening the QPF for today, but this is even a little tighter than my adjustment. Oy vey. Sorry for those that miss out. Us low landers continue to cash.

Just got off of night shifts this morning and I can say this past 5-7 nights were complete hell in the forecasting world. Never in my wildest dreams did I think I would be issuing 2 High Risks and 4 Moderate Risks in a 4 days span without a single tropical cyclone in the mix. My ERD’s (Excessive Rainfall Discussions) were easily 2000+ words in length each night. Just absolutely insane. I’m done till next Tuesday, but I’ll remember that set forever.

Full event will end with 0.82 after 0.53" on 3/31 and 0.29" on 4/1 I'll take it

Added some additional rain from the 2nd round. 0.53" official for yesterday and an addition 0.3" so far and still raining according to radar. Could end up near 0.9" for the event. Not bad!