Brick Tamland

And time for the NAM, 3k and FV3.

HRRR at 48 and still going. All snow from just south of Wake north.

HRRR looks more like a coastal bomb.

Hour 42

HRRR getting its act together at hour 40.

That's actually not the end of it. It does double from the previous run.

Almost doubled.

They have to in case it busts. They will talk about all the ways it could end up busting no matter how the models look. It's been that way ever since the Dec 2000 storm bust when Fishel ended up in the fountain playing the tuba because he guaranteed a big snow storm for Raleigh. Ever since then they and all the other local mets just go with the model that shows the least amount and play it safe instead of really making a forecast. They would rather it end up more than they say than end up less than they say. And then they can say we told you everything that could go wrong to cover their bases. I'm thinking 2 to 4 inches south of Raleigh and 4 to 6 inches for north of Raleigh. 6 to 8 for north of Wake.

Maybe one. The rest have anywhere from 2 to 6 inches.

I haven't seen any models this afternoon that had none. They all have anywhere from 2 to 6 inches here.

I think most of them are showing snow north of Raleigh, though. Raleigh and south Wake is always the battle zone.

GfS looked good for the Triangle. Kept the ice south of Wake. I think 4 to 6 inches looks good here.

Short range models have anywhere from 2 to 6 inches of snow here.

ICON at 48.

RDPS at 48.