poolz1
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Everything posted by poolz1
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Really does look active! Right as start entering prime climo too.... The fact that we had nothing last year and it being the first threat of the season....I am still recuperating from the last track..lol
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GFS ops have insisted on the monster block developing after the x-mas frontal passage.....and reloads it this run. Ens up to now seem pretty muted....you would think there would be a better signal. Wait and see... eta: 12z gefs sniffing it out now....
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Who knows if we will end up on the right side of this but it looks one heck of a dynamic frontal passage. Add in a strong low rocketing N at the same time. Temps plummeting through the 20's with very heavy snow and strong gusts....accumulation wouldnt be an issue verbatim.
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If the gfs is right about the wind many will be out of power...the Southerly wind on the coast is nuts. Widespread 60-70. NW wind behind the front 35-50 gusts with snow. Wild
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Was just reading that thread...thought this response regarding the stj was interesting.
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GFS op run at 2 weeks out but this run pretty much destroyed the SPV....
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Nina update
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GFS sending the ridge into GL again...a beast
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Christmas morning....with gust to 30 around the area
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06z gefs with a better look for a wave forming on the Arctic front....Any snow on x-mas is a win but a nice wave developing down south creates some upside potential.
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Exactly....those snow maps verified just fine in PA and NY. If you are on the fringe, take with a huge grain of sleet...i mean salt
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Thought that batch in OH looked pretty robust earlier...only the 3k nam had it there but not to that extent. Other mesos just had scattered returns in OH and W PA.
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If we can just get some energy to hang back a bit for a x-mas miracle......
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A few pics from yesterday...and last night. The band last night was really awesome.... 9" snow and sleet. 8" OTG this morning. 1.42 liquid
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06z GEFS relaxes the NA blocking regime around D10 only to really bring it back toward the end of the run.... That Aleutian low is a very stable feature. A shift east with that low just a bit could send this pattern into a very cold, classic pattern for snow. As it is, plenty of positives to be taken from the advertised pattern....
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-SN but about to shut down. 2.7" new 8.7" total snowfall with about 1/2" of crunch to go with it. Fun storm....
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Honestly did not expect this...still intense out there.
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Best show of the day right now. Very impressive rates, perfect dendrites...wind. Wow...
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That band pushing into southerrn Wash/Fred Co looks great...snow is picking back up along with the wind.
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1.25" of new snow.
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Maybe seeing some of the back building into WV predicted...little bit of a pivot look to the radar as someone noted earlier
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Certainly has transitioned to higher ratio type snow. Hard to tell because it is dark out but these rates right now might rival earlier today.
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Pouring snow similar to earlier in the day...radar looks to be eroding on the back edge fairly quick tho. We'll see if the lift N and eastward progress can slow like some of the mesos show.
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Mod snow...large flakes.
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I think the changeover is finally occurring now here too....after several head fakes.
