poolz1

GFS has a N or NE flow at the surface for the entire event. The secondary reenforces that cold flow and eliminates the switch to S or SE flow. Ice storm ingredients...

Euro op ends with this look....which agrees with ens reloading the NAO block again by D10

As of 7am... 1.8" .14" liquid Mod snow 31/29

It def can rob the precip shield. I dont think what is going on down south will have that effect tho. You know where I first learned that?.... Bob Ryan! lol No golden snow shovel when there is a tor outbreak in the deep south.... Exception 3/1993

Funny....I remember looking at the bank thermometer in Rutland on my way out and it was -18f Out of the 5 of us there, 2 decided to stay and wait to come home. I was one of the drivers and "hell no...the train is leaving the station." I am not missing out on witnessing this storm by sitting in a hotel room eating pb&j and pounding cheap beer!

36/21 2" is my bar with this one....something to cover the south facing hillsides again would be nice.

I was 18 at the time and that was the only storm I was praying would hold off a few more hours. Trying to beat it home from Killington to FDK. No luck...I was surprised when I hit snow in Scranton and it was a white knuckle drive the rest of the way. At least from what I remember, from watching the news before we left, it wasn't supposed to be that far north yet....3-4am iirc.

Pretty much forms a glacier across the US. Pretty impressive even for an op run. So much tracking ahead...gfs basically had us on the right side of everything that run.

Lets just lock in the GFS thru D13 and move on to training camp and smallmouth....

The features are there but, man, models are certainly jumpy with the placement, shape/orientation of the TPV and how it interacts with energy coming out of the SW. Wed/Thur overrunning seems like the only thing that has some agreement between globals....after that, the options are endless. Hopefully, by Mon we can gain some clarity on post Thursday weather. Seems like a high ceiling depending on how much that final wave amplifies and where.

.4" overnight. Total of 8.4" for the storm but only about 6.5/7" otg.

it does...the stuff up in PA is what has my eye. Hoping that can gain some juice as it heads south.

8" total for the storm so far. 7.5" otg Flurries and breezy right now. Perfect.

That area as you get toward Jefferson is a classic, localized jackpot zone in a lot of coastal storms. Doesn't surprise me that you over performed.

Para is much closer to a decent outcome next weekend. Late bloomer verbatim...storm signal growing.

Just a hair too far south for the consolidated bands of mod/hvy snow from earlier. Lt/mod all day here with a few bursts of heavier snow. Friend of mine just over the line in PA measured 13"

Wow! Congrats man. That area has been crushed all day....

Heaviest band of the day just moved through. Just shy of 3" new snow. Unique snow day....not too often you see precip move toward you from the SE, E, NE and now almost due north all in a 12hr period and only rack up 3" of snow.

Boy, that band from the north might just make it here. Looks legit on radar and that pic out of Emmitsburg.

Mod snow for the past hour or so. 1.8” new snow. That press from the NE looks great. 6” on the nose from the event.

Mod snow...breezy. Just under an inch of new snow. 5” total. 29/27

Freezing drizzle has turned to pixie dust with occasional flakes. Radar looks better than I thought it would this morning.

4.2 with a crust. .42" liquid 26/24

Just got back on and realized I never clicked "submit." LOL! ETA: or maybe I did...hell I dont know. The All Days are flowing.... Man...that is a tough one but agree with Fred east is in a better spot. I still feel like there will be some surprises with the banding. No doubt any banding will be eastern PA's leftovers but a solid period of light to mod snow I think is 50/50 even out this far west. Wouldn't surprise me if we have true CCB over the forecasted spots and then a light/mod band further west with subsidence in between. Some modeling has shown this idea....

Man...that is a tough one but agree with Fred east being in a better spot. I still feel like there will be some surprises with the banding. No doubt any banding will be eastern PA's leftovers but a solid period of light to mod snow I think is 50/50 even out this far west. Wouldn't surprise me if we have true CCB over the forecasted spots and then a light/mod band further west with subsidence in between. Some modeling has shown this idea....