Jump to content

poolz1

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,694

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by poolz1

  1. poolz1
    Some digital love from the always accurate control!
  2. poolz1
    Somehow people on here can pull up stuff from memory. Not this guy. PSU just referenced a WAA event in 2018 and I had no memory of it! lol Maybe this is what you are looking for? I use it quite a bit when memory fails...which is often. https://psl.noaa.gov/data/composites/day/
  3. poolz1
    Getting that uneasy feeling that the trough pulling back off the west coast of NA is a can that gets kicked. GEFS have been backing off a bit but the euro still likes a massive PNA ridge to develop and the trough in a nice spot to pump that ridge.. Wouldn't be surprising I guess to see the GEFS be correct on this given what all know is most likely this season.
  4. poolz1
    30.4 when I left the house this morning at 5am. Heavy frost....will have to see when I get home if the temp dropped further into the upper 20s.
  5. poolz1
    Pretty much like this forum now. Only difference will be that PSU has to put on pants now to relay random stats from past winters....broken down by elevation. lol j/k I actually like this idea as well...would certainly add value to an already great, informative place.
  6. poolz1
    +PNA
  7. poolz1
    Looks like a possible relaxation of the PAC jet as we near mid month on the ens. I guess time will tell if this actually holds as we get closer. There is certainly a tendency for HLB of some sort and combined with a favorable PAC could lead to a window of opportunity as we close out Nov. Obviously, a front loaded winter has been touted.
  8. poolz1

    Winter 2021-22

    poolz1 replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic

    This would be a decent sign that HLB may be a mainstay this early winter season.. With punches already being thrown at the PV this would just continue the assault after a brief recovery.
  9. poolz1
    That amount was my thought exactly. 4-5" qpf. Some of the factors that give us our biggest totals are a hindrance to Sierra style snows. We need a constant moisture fetch but too long of a duration will usually wreck the mids resulting in epic meltdowns. Occlusion will happen at some point and shut down the death band. A lack of significant orographic lift if we are talking just around 95. No other body of water to offer additional enhancement.
  10. poolz1

    Winter 2021-22

    poolz1 replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic

    It does...but I guess the positive takeaway, imo, is it shows a good signal for a progressive mjo. Hence, windows of opportunity. Not a lot of great signals in general for this winter. Im just looking for signs of something that will buck the system (best case scenario) or at least a sign that the classic nina pattern could have interruptions. I have no clue and no expectations.
  11. poolz1

    Winter 2021-22

    poolz1 replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic

    Interesting thread regarding the MJO. If something similar plays out this winter we should at least see windows of opportunity.
  12. poolz1
    2.86" Yesterday evening felt just like a tropical system heading north to the west of us. Muggy, clouds racing out of the SSE, wind would pick up with any mod/hvy downpour...etc.
  13. poolz1
    Not sure if this one has been posted? It is one of the wildest videos I have seen....sound up! The view of the exiting tornado after the home owner comes upstairs is just surreal.
  14. poolz1
    Just absolutely torrential for the past hour. Zero wind... Just a still, humid, tropical downpour. Sent from my SM-G973U using Tapatalk
  15. poolz1
    I would think the Potomac is going to have one heck of a crest. Forecast is already for major flood stage through the Washington Co gauges and 26'+ at Point of Rocks.
  16. poolz1
    I'll be home in case the creek decides to encroach on us so.....more like Miller time.
  17. poolz1
    Ahhh...my bad. Yes, seeing a 3"+ Pwat print out was the point of my post. No too often seen in these parts. Effective tropical rainers...
  18. poolz1
    I didnt assume. At least according to the euro...that frame is pretty much areawide precip.
  19. poolz1
    3"+ in spots when the center is passing by...torrential. Also noticed that the euro is slower to get out of here and has a similar evolution as the ICON. GFS is the most progressive in the bunch now.
  20. poolz1
    We are not the bullseye on the models but its a razor's edge....especially for N MD. There is likely to be additional qpf maxes locally. Look at what the models were printing out for Henri. Western CT --> NYC bullseye...in reality, NYC --> C NJ. With the center passing through our area I would not write off significant impacts just yet.
  21. poolz1
    Me too...I really thought it would be down by now. I just saw a cooler float by and then get plucked out of the water by the wind. It shot off frame like a bullet.
  22. poolz1
    Insanity! https://www.severestudios.com/storm-chasers/john.humphress2.html
  23. poolz1
    Its a good start.... An expansive area of torrential tropical rains with embedded sever would be ideal. Lets move this a little south and see some oranges popping up.
  24. poolz1
    Looks to be a wild ride shaping up. Would really like to get in on some local impacts...
  25. poolz1
    Pretty nice storm rolling through there. What's the report? Sent from my SM-G973U using Tapatalk
×
×
  • Create New...