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poolz1

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Everything posted by poolz1

  1. poolz1
    Yeah, the GEFS really had their hooks into the last really amplified system. Cant trust anything anymore. lol
  2. poolz1
    As Bob would say....if this plays out like this run there will be plenty of bruised and battered furry animals around my yard!
  3. poolz1
    Not only timing imo. The shape and placement of the west coast ridge when the energies start to make their slide down from western Canada into the us is key. 12z had a more N to S trajectory. 18z more of a SE slide which kicked the whole precess too far east. Something in between would have been money.
  4. poolz1
    Maybe some light clipper action Sunday night. Been starting to show up east of the mountains on some recent runs.
  5. poolz1
    One thing that looks to remain is the fact that the coldest air (relative to avg) in the NH will continue to reside in NA. I wouldn't mind a gradient pattern with Arctic air pressing under some minor south east ridging. Obviously, the risk is always there that we end up on the wrong side.
  6. poolz1
    Mangled flakes starting to mix in here. 34.1
  7. poolz1
    Yeah hr39 was probably the only panel that improved...
  8. poolz1
    Was thinking the same thing...lol. More dig with the ns and less held back in the SW. We'll see if it continues
  9. poolz1
    What a beast of an Arctic high in a prime location. Would be a shame not to attack violently.
  10. poolz1
    Obviously, my preference would be for 100% cold smoke but if not at least give me something interesting. A pretty wild day... Single digit lows, snow with temps in the teens, rapid temp rise, rapid pressure falls and strong winds. Currently, gusts outside 40+ I would think. Its the loudest I can remember in this house (15yrs) and we live in a fairly protected spot. I am sure the ridge tops are getting big time gusts.. 988.5mb
  11. poolz1
    Roaring wind... 991.1mb
  12. poolz1
    994mb 34/33 Hoping the ULL pass can give a freshener early tomorrow morning.
  13. poolz1
    Maybe some down-sloping off of S Mtn going on imby. Temp up to 29
  14. poolz1
    Crazy temp rise. 27/26
  15. poolz1
    3.1" snow. Mostly sleet now. 21/16
  16. poolz1
    Finally some nice dendrites! Pouring snow. .75" in the past hour. Got 2-3 more hours to add up. My bar set at 3" looks to be too low.
  17. poolz1
    Whatever floats your boat! Im outta sorts this snowfall... Some leftover Bushmills is cabinet from the holidays, chili from whatever we could dig up and cornbread. Enjoy the powder bomb as long as it lasts. Heres to a +bust!
  18. poolz1
    Skillet cornbread just came out of the oven. 1.5" on the board. Mod snow - 19/14
  19. poolz1
    That traffic cam out of McHenry shows the wind! Whipping snow across the lake. Great mountain storm...enjoy.
  20. poolz1
    Low of 7. Currently 9/4 Bar is set at 3" imby. Beautiful storm with a crappy evolution. Looking at latest obs...Lower heights out front at 13z than the NAM has.
  21. poolz1
    Wow.... I have no clue what it takes for an eruption to actually affect weather patterns but that is some fascinating stuff. Would the easterly shear in the strat be our -QBO showing up on sat?
  22. poolz1
    Even being further NW I am looking for the next one. Don't get me wrong I am looking forward to the thump because I enjoy all snow. But I know this has 3-4" and a rapid changeover written all over it. Even up here. (5 miles west of the BR) 00Z EPS increased its signal for this time period.
  23. poolz1
    Thats my takeaway as well. The H5 track noticeably east from the time it rounds the corner down south. Hopefully these slight adjustments east continue today.
  24. poolz1
    Obviously, everyone is looking for that first sign this will tick east. Confluence to the NE, the diving energy on the backside of the storm but one other factor could be a weaker ULL in general. The 06 eps shows this to be the case vs 00z. The control shows it nicely...weaker ULL but same track produces a slp 30-40 east of 00z and doest hook back nearly as much.
  25. poolz1
    Just blend the GFS and ICON....thats my in house ensemble.
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