JTA66

ALEET This latest event in my corner of the I-95 corridor has picked up again. But given the late Feb sun angle, it's melting on the blacktop.

Pretty good flizzard going on, all sorts of junk and stuff caving. 24F

I have to agree, it’s a bit of a letdown

Flurries! Delayed but not denied

Get the name of a good realtor, might be time for me to move away from this snow hole.

I've been hearing birds chirping around sunrise for a few weeks now. It would be nice to just slide into spring, but we're never that lucky. No, I'm not predicting snow. Just two months of raw, windy, rainy days before we turn on the AC in mid May.

If you don't think models should run past 120 hours, why are you looking at models past 120 hours??

Maybe we’ll fail at failing for a change.

I plan on retiring November 2032, that gives me a month to plow through my retirement savings

That would have been Feb '89, I believe. I recall another bust, Jan '85 maybe? Went to bed under a Winter Storm Warning and woke up to filtered sun...such a crushing feeling!

Only one sniffing glue around here is the 12k NAM

Adding to Paul, the 1980's still featured big time arctic outbreaks. Only one KU in 1983, but plenty of our 3-5, 4-6 inch bread & butter storms with clippers thrown in. After 1987, we began our string of ratters into the early 90's.

At the risk of dating myself, I'm old enough to remember Winter Storm Warnings.

Dr. Joel Myers founded Accuwx, not Elliot. Elliot was the best met they ever had!

I've got some huge tarp in my backyard. Leaving it there for now...hoping it blows away into someone else's yard.

Other than that, we're gonna repeat next year!!

The models suck, I get that. But what if this was 25 years ago? Maybe they'd still be showing a MECS today and we'd be buckled up doing a weenie dance not realizing a huge rug pull was on the way. Seems things really started going down hill 12z Saturday...5+ days out. Maybe that's the "improvement". idk Just spit balling cause I'm bored and there's nothing to track.

The problem isn't that models go out past 120 hours. It's that weenies keep taking them literally at that range. We'll never improve modeling if we stop running them at longer leads and learn how to correct them for more accurate outcomes. If weenies keep getting excited about 240 hour MECS, that's on them.

This is where I'm at. To my limited weenie understanding of weather, it seems ENSO phases aren't making much of an impact these days. Nino/Nina doesn't matter -- W PAC warm pool keeps slamming the west coast with a strong jet. Then on the Atlantic side, we have a strong +AMO that links up our few attempts at a -NAO with the SER for a full latitude ridge. Unless and until there are wholesale changes in the global SSTA configuration, we'll be fighting an uphill battle. The good news is I don't know what I'm talking about, so maybe none of the above applies.

1.25" here...a KU but with rain

Montco 911 log lighting up with “electrical fires”.

Looks like my high for the day was 50F. Lots of junk and stuff fell from my trees as that initial gust front came through.

Winds rippin’ here, lights flickering

Almost looks like a bow echo heading across eastern PA

I know, I feel dirty for looking at. Is there a 12-step program for weenies who can’t stop looking at models even after they bailed??