I read somewhere that the current +PDO could lead to a nice August. Of course, it's never wise to put all your eggs into one teleconnection's basket. And while it might be a pleasant August for the nation at large, I'm sure the +AMO will throw a wrench into things for us on the coastal plain.
It's a strange summer -- I'm under an excessive heat warning, yet have mushrooms popping up in the yard from all the rain. Wonder how high temps would have climbed this weekend if it had been a dry summer with the ground baked solid?
Heard my first katydids last night, we're in deep summer now.
Yeah, the Euro bumped east. Also interesting is it has the low over the Delmarva @ 192 hours. Who knows how it will play out, but something to track for now.
Getting the seven-ten split here as the best of these storms are passing to my north and south. The most impressive part was the gust front, but even that was probably only in the 30-35mph range. Nothing more than a heavy shower with some thunder & lightning. Maxed out at 88F again, down to 79F now.
Looks like the 18Z NAM wants to bring another line through later tonight.
Latest ideas from Accuwx on the summer...
Temps +2-3 above avg. While there may be more 90F+ days than last summer, there should be fewer 70F+ overnight mins.
Precip below avg.
Isolated serve with mod to high risk areas off to our south and west.
July-Sept update...
AccuWx going with temps and precip averaging near normal for our region. Bouts of severe wx still possible but the worst of it looks to be upstate NY and New England.
A quick follow up to the post above...
Looks like their summer forecast is a continuation of the May-July period -- temps slightly above average with near normal precip. The big heat looks to stay out west over the Rockies. Above normal precip to our west/southwest (Ohio Valley region), this would lead to below average temps there.
All in all, I could live with this. Not a fan of those summers where the AC runs weeks on end.
Bump...
Just read Paul Pastelok's (AccuWx) thoughts on the May-July period. He's going with normal to slightly above normal temps. Cooling energy usage will be near average. Looks like near normal precipitation with below normal severe (but there will be some). Confidence is moderate. His June-Aug ideas will be out next week.
Lolz!! Now we know why we don't see more of Storm Ranger 10 ...
http://www.philly.com/philly/blogs/entertainment/television/Report-NBC-Bostons-Storm-Ranger-weather-truck-is-actually-based-in-Philly.html
Umm ... tomorrow night at 11:00, Ch 6 is issuing it's February Winter Outlook. Isn't winter about half over, and by tomorrow night, about 25% of Feb will be in the books?? Wonder if they'll go with BN temps and AN snowfall??