JTA66

I was -2 1/2 years old, so I don’t recall that storm.

I was thinking about that the other day, but currently it doesn’t look like we’ll meet the wind criteria. We’ll see.

NAM doesn’t look all that different from the Euro. We puke fatties until Sunday evening, then taint with lighter stuff.

The weenie in me wants 20+ inches. The old man in me doesn't want to shovel more than 4".

Unfortunately that's a red flag to me. Still, we're at 72hrs out. Patience!

12z Ukie looks like the 0z Euro (to my untrained eyes). Front end thump, then any taint would be on the lighter side after the damage is done.

RGEM at range gets taint back to RT202-ish.

True. His thoughts may have been more directed towards the Balt/DC area.

Kind of hard to ignore his take. Waiting for 0z with the additional data from the recon flight. Buckle up!

Stolen from a red tagger in the MA forum... I had lunch with Louis Uccellini about an hour ago. He's very concerned about a westward trend going forward. Especially with an 850 low going into the OV. He's not convinced (at all) that the current evolution will hold. "I'd rather be in Chicago"

That's another reason '96 is #1 in my book -- no taint! Even PDII had a period of IP. Now, back to the drool-worthy maps...

I'll wait for the CRAS to get in range.

As always, not this storm but the storm after the next storm will be our storm

Anyone smarter than me care to extrapolate the 84hr NAM? Looks like it's ejecting the Baja low, but that might be me with weenie goggles on

Bottomed out at 0F, now up to a balmy 14F. Awesome Jebwalk this morning! Noticed some yellow snow, we need a refresh.

Tracking is half the fun…the ups and downs, the highs and lows, the Jackpots and rug pulls. It’s kind of like Christmas when you were a kid. The anticipation is what made it great. Once you came downstairs and saw what Santa left you, Christmas was over.

It’s only Tuesday, we don’t want large swings. Subtle ticks from now until week’s end is fine.

Lighter accumulations on the 18z GFS, but better than what it $hite out at 12z

I imagine virga warnings will be hoisted if it’s that cold while we wait for the storm.

Ha! Got my suppressed look with the GFS

That's why I liked yesterday's suppressed looks.

But wouldn't that be a double negative? Someone who isn't a fan of snow starting a snow thread to prevent snow would possibly bring on the big dog.

I had a total Ji meltdown with that storm. For a while there, I thought we might surpass Blizzard of '96 totals. Then at some point late Sunday night/early Monday morning, I heard pingers mixing in. Even with 20+ inches on the ground, I was thinking the storm under performed...lol! Seems things have slowed down for this next storm. Wasn't this looking like a Saturday event a few days ago? Gotta think the slower evolution is a good thing. Let's get the CRAS onboard! Bottomed out at 9F this morning, currently 12F.

Agreed. I posted several pages back that an OBX MECS seems to be a Nina hallmark. And maybe that’s what we’re looking at here. But just to be safe, I buried my shovel in the back of the garage this morning. We’re a superstitious lot.

Not saying anything will happen this weekend. Perhaps the suppressed look is correct and we end up high & dry. But looking back, the 2016 storm, PDII, the ‘96 blizzard and many other MESC were all initially modeled to miss us to the south.