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Everything posted by Boston Bulldog
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Some impressive gravity wave signatures showing up on radar training over the Hudson River Valley right now. Absolutely pouring, but not much wind to speak of thus far
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You aren't kidding, suspicious looking curved band on the north side of the center per the last SSMIS pass
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https://www.metoc.navy.mil/fnmoc/tropical.html Click on the Satellite Imagery of Tropical Cyclones link. It often gives a "not secure" warning, just as a heads up. Probably one of the more comprehensive pages for TC information
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As the effects of Typhoon Merbok on the general NH longwave pattern, CONUS wavebreaking event, and subsequent downstream trough come into focus, we should start to see more of a consensus develop on the future of Fiona. The ultimate destination of this system (if it survives the Greater Antilles intact) will be beholden to the structure of the rossby wave pattern. The run to run differences in the positioning of the 500mb trough on the Euro and GFS runs remains quite significant, and likely won't be resolved until ET Merbok completes building the ridge over the Aleutians and the Bering Sea.
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Thinking Earl may peak at a similar intensity to Larry last year given the similarities in the structure of the eye (though far more banding features are present with Earl)
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Central & Eastern Pacific Thread
Boston Bulldog replied to Windspeed's topic in Tropical Headquarters
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Central & Eastern Pacific Thread
Boston Bulldog replied to Windspeed's topic in Tropical Headquarters
After briefly disappearing, Darby has cleared out it's eye again and has unexpectedly restrengthened into a major hurricane. Latest update has winds at 115mph and pressure back down to 968. Great storm, all the way from when it looked like it was trying to rapidly intensify while as an invest! I can recall that the first advisory had it peaking as a Category 1, quite the overachiever -
This might be a bit of a shot in the dark, but does anyone know where to find Wheeler-Hendon MJO RMM Phase diagrams for this past January? The bom.au site (http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/mjo/) appears to have a bit of a hole in it's archives. They have only been updated to December 2021, and the Current Phase 90 day diagram only reaches January 28th 2022. I'm hoping to find 40 or 90 day plots centered on January 2022. CPC site doesn't appear to have archived W-H diagrams unfortunately.
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Yes, it indeed got sticky at around 12:30 from mid mountain on down (felt the snow starting to grab at the skis as I went down Nosedive and decided enough was enough). The morning was fantastic through, with the woods skiers left off of Lookout and skiers left of Starr still housing some pockets of fresh turns and good coverage. The top half of Lookout proper was awesome too. Between Jay yesterday and Stowe today, easily the best March tree skiing in recent years!
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March 12 Rain to…more rain? Maybe some snow
Boston Bulldog replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
Gotta be a pretty nice upslope signal for you and NVT as the low departs -
March 9: Little Critter that could part 2.
Boston Bulldog replied to Sey-Mour Snow's topic in New England
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March 9: Little Critter that could part 2.
Boston Bulldog replied to Sey-Mour Snow's topic in New England
Been ripping here since this band developed overhead around noon. WWA just issued -
All time favorite. Largest positive bust I’ve ever seen in Canton
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March 2022 Obs/Disc: In Like a Lamb, Out Like a Butterfly
Boston Bulldog replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Good to know we can lock in the dumbbell lows already -
From Josh Fox a few weeks ago: "Judah Cohen had some interesting thoughts in his blog a few weeks ago about what might happen to the Alberta Clipper in a climate changed world. I don't want to get into the weeds on that topic now but it is important to note how glaringly impotent the clipper has been in terms of producing snowfall in Vermont this winter." I tried to look into what exactly Dr. Cohen had said but was unable to locate the blog post he wrote about the topic at length, so I don't know exactly what factors he was referencing for the "decline of the clipper". Regardless, it is interesting that people are looking into the fundamentals behind what drives the frequency of these events. Is this an overreaction to this winter's lack of potent clipper events? Or is this a trend that has been witnessed over longer timescales? (again, I wish I could find exactly what Dr. Cohen was referencing. If anyone knows where this was posted, I would certainly appreciate the link). Certainly an interesting topic though. Anyways, definitely encouraging to see these events survive the mid-range and appear set to deliver a wintery week. Definitely what we need for a good run of spring skiing as we progress deeper into March.
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Sun has arrived. Eyeballing 6-7" as a final total, easily our best snow event to date in the HRV
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Very impressed in Albany with this band, hopefully this continues east for everyone. Starting to weaken a bit on radar though, no longer seeing 30dbz returns so I am guessing that there was some MHC enhancement in this area
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Albany, near the 90-87 interchange
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Wow, it is absolutely dumping out there! Checked SPC fronto analysis and didn't see a coherent signal behind this band. Could this be owed to some Mohawk-Hudson Convergence enhancement, or is it fueled by some other mesoscale factor that I am missing?