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snowdude

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by snowdude

  1. Latest hires NAM 18z...trending snowier. Shows as much snow as euro does for Salisbury. The question is, will this trend continue? Is it real? And how much of a role will borderline temps and a warmer ground play?
  2. I posted this to my Facebook earlier in regard to the Thursday night possible snow. Give me some LIKES https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=1112770772088832&id=150205931678659&notif_t=like&ref=bookmarks
  3. With the AO being pretty positive during this week, the cold air will be tough to get unlike this last storm, however, there looks to be just enough cold air where there may be some accumulating snow if this system trends west, which there is a chance of. Right now I'd say about a 20-30% for the DC area, 40-50% chance along eastern shore. Stay tuned for sure...
  4. Very windy with moderate to heavy snow falling as heavy echos push through Cambridge, MD. Temp has been steadily falling from 28 down to 24.
  5. Impressive. Conditions have been colder today... And no, it won't put us in blizzard territory just because of snow totals. We need the wind speeds for that which I personally believe we will be in for at least some time. I mean come on we will be getting 40-60 mph gusts. Maybe it will be expanded for blowing snow? We will see. But don't hold your breath, it's Wakefield
  6. Roads becoming completely covered in Cambridge, MD. Moderate snow. Eye-balling probably a quarter inch or so.
  7. Amount of snow expected to be on the ground according to HRRR by 11pm with rain/snow line still south of Salisbury. Probably a few more inches before switch over.
  8. Probably the RPM (tv met model). Plus GFS and NAM showed lots of mixing during 00z runs last night, but shouldn't panic on one run yet.
  9. Yeah it is worrisome, but hopefully it's just a blip and a wobble. But the NW trend is a real thing, it happens a lot during these storms and that's what worryies me. 12z today and 00z tonight will be big runs.
  10. Here's what we are thinking at 47ABC. I'd say it's pretty conservative. Lol
  11. Right now I'm thinking the front end thump will be where we see the most snow. Probably 4"-8" in Salisbury before changing to rain and sleet. Could get another couple inches Saturday evening/night when it changes back, maybe more especially if dynamics remain strong and a possible deformation band sets up. Still have time to narrow everything down.
  12. I think Easton will see quite a bit of snow. More than Salisbury and areas south of you. Yes, some mixing does look likely.
  13. Also, mini heat wave next week? GFS is downplaying highs and likely wrong, as ECMWF and GGEM are much warmer. NWS agrees: FAVORING ECMWF FOR HIGHS (GFS HIGHS ONLY IN MID-UPPER 80S WELL INLAND APPEARS TOO COOL IN THIS PATTERN). CONDITIONS WILL GENLY BE ABOUT 5 DEGREES COOLER AT THE COAST.
  14. Most likely an inactive season or at least a boring season due to developing moderate to strong El Nino, but you never know really. NHC puts out their official forecast next week.
  15. Looks like we all cashed in. Congrats everyone! I got between 3"-4" in Salisbury. I love when I get a forecast right It was a pretty good winter overall. Time to sit back and wait for the warmth now! Still can't guarantee winter is over though.
  16. We have some very heavy snow bands to get through over the next several hours moving in from Virginia.
  17. Snow in Salisbury! Finally! Haha now hurry up and accumulate 3 inches. Lol
  18. Amazing consistency with the GFS for several runs. Hopefully it's right.
  19. Oh yeah!!!!!! Just like they should have hours ago? Hours late with ANOTHER storm AGAIN!
  20. Wakefield said either a warning or advisory will be issued by 3pm.
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