KPITSnow

Do you have the windmap or anyone for that matter? It isn't often we see a 985 MB low get that close to us here in WPA.

Also, when I saw the ICON I did expect a jump east....but no way did I expect it to go further northwest.

For us out this way, this is like the absolute dream track on the GFS. It is a dream though because for me in 20 years of watching weather models and seeing tracks like this pop up it has never once verified. A true apps runner seems to be the rarest storm path out there.

GFS is so far west almost that we would potentially have dry slot and mixing issues. It pushes the "bullseye" up into western OH though we still get crushed and for us verbatim would be an all time impactful storm if we get ten inches and ice. That said, have we EVER seen a track like this actually verify? I remember a storm about 12-15 years ago that was supposed to destroy us but ended up an Ohio blizzard and fringed us and we mixed.

I can certainly remember times we went from a storm that missed us east to a storm that turned us to rain changing on the models in the span of two days.

Now I’m invested and excited…which inevitably means this will shift back east…or go far enough west it rains.

It’s kind of amazing that if we get 6-10 we are thrilled but the MA or NYC folks get it try lose their minds because it isn’t 18 inches plus.

Welcome to Pittsburgh! that run though was ridiculous. We are only about 5 days out so the storm likely won’t disappear but we all know how this works with shifts screwing us in the end.

Here is the thing with Steeler and Pittsburgh fans in general. Yeah, they act like they are the best fans in sports but watch the amount of empty seats at heinz if there is a 6-11 season. Hell,o even this year there were tons of empties.

Yep, but they are probably in for a world of hurt the next few years.

I call it dumb luck. They should have been a 5-12 team this year. Honestly this will screw them in the long run...they needed to pick high for a QB and instead backed into the playoffs to get killed by the chiefs. I hate the steelers btw.

I have truly wondered this. I feel like they’ve disappeared the last 5-10 years. Does this have something to do with climate change?

Also latest GFS gives 3-4 county wide…considering it had been most bearish for us with this I definitely think 2-4 and an advisory is where we should be right now.

Just started. Light dusting already

Yeah, and same for Cleveland I think too. This also isn’t a short term thing..it’s been years like this. I will cut some slack though as NWS Mets are often badly under paid.

Honestly read ours, then read state college’s. The difference is honestly kind of pathetic.

I didn’t look today. They have more than 10 sentences focused on this event? edit: just looked and very underwhelming. Only focused on southern areas, barely, and didn’t talk about the metro area at all.

What I like about this map, at least my way, is that we are going to be more like 15:1 ratios I’d imagine…so 2.8 based in .28 liquid is much closer to 4

I don’t know if I’d say conservative but they are SUPER slow to adjust forecasts IMO. The January of 2019 storm is an amazing example.

Hmm..thinking it might be time to throw up an advisory. Short term models all showing 3-4 pretty generally now.

Nothing can top that. Under a WSW the morning of, and it was raining. We all knew like 24 hours out w e were screwed but NWS took forever to adjust.

Yep, and see my edit. It really is amazing how ideal things seem to have to be to get big storms here, even competitively to places only 50-100 miles from us. I’m sure Morgantown, Youngstown, Altoona, etc have all had more big storms than us the last decade.

Lol. What was the storm a few years ago where union town got like 18 inches, and even southern AGC got nearly 10 inches but the city north barely managed 5? We kept saying it had to tick north and it didn’t. It seems that we always are stuck either 50-100 miles too far north or south. What was really amazing is that until last December we hadn’t had a 10 inch storm in like 10 years and even a 6 inch storm in a long time but if you drive 50 miles in any direction they all had large storms.

I guess this is our payback for our first big storm and great December last year. That has been holding me over a bit at least. That said there haven’t even been many things to track, though I almost prefer that to the storms that we get 24-48 hours out, show 6-10 inches, then we either rain or get slop.

Seems to be all snow to me here in Ross