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KPITSnow

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Everything posted by KPITSnow

  1. KPITSnow
    I'm interested to see what it puts out as totals. I honestly wouldn't be shocked if it shows totals that could push a top 10 storm for us.
  2. KPITSnow
    HRRR goes boom.
  3. KPITSnow
    Thanks for posting this. I know it sucks for you guys but I am stoked by this!
  4. KPITSnow
    50 miles south east, we are looking at 15 inches, and that really isn't an exaggeration.
  5. KPITSnow
    I remember think foot plus snowstorms were normal. We had several of them from the 92-96 timeframe.
  6. KPITSnow
    The CMC gives nearly 40MM of liquid equivalent. Which is like 1.6 inches. Would be pushing 15-20 inches there haha. Lets do it. Also, can anyone actually decipher those damn contours on the GEFS maps?
  7. KPITSnow
    Is there anyone else that simply can't read the contours on these maps?
  8. KPITSnow
    I was really young but I remember a storm that did that here in Pittsburgh too. I have no clue when it was, but it sleeted for HOURS and I have never seen anything like it again. At the end it switched to extremely heavy snow. I just remember it because it was the best sled riding I ever remember.
  9. KPITSnow
    if we dry slot but still get a foot that would be amazing. If we avoid the dryslot or it is being over done by the models I will hold to the idea that I think we can see 12-18 type totals here.
  10. KPITSnow
    Still dry slot for a few hours on the GFS but still a good outcome. I'm starting to wonder if a brief dryslot is inevitable?
  11. KPITSnow
    LOL. That is a really bad map considering that NWS is expecting 12-18 in Buf and he predicts 3-6.
  12. KPITSnow
    The HiRes NAM is also atrocious for us. That's more concerning than the NAM itself. Showing like an inch of snow at the onset, then ice, then dryslot. Have to see what the back end shows but the deform band is wanting to set up near columbus.
  13. KPITSnow
    NAM is still about 100 miles west of other guidance. Pretty crazy.
  14. KPITSnow
    The NAM is either going to score a huge coupe, or should be officially retired.
  15. KPITSnow
    Good to know as I am behind on the NWS site, and the dry slot gets VERY close.
  16. KPITSnow
    I want to know, when they say in the description about extreme property damage from snow what do they mean?
  17. KPITSnow
    HAHAHAHAHA. The NY thread was talking about how the only reason to live on the tughill is snow...everything else is awful. I'd imagine Erie is the same.
  18. KPITSnow
    Yep lol. Though I would imagine there is a good deal of lake enhancement with that. Like I said though 12-18 IMO is a possibility given that 50 minutes NW that is what the euro is spitting out. The thing is that we still dry slot or come close to it, but the only model showing the really pronounced slot is the NAM so that is encouraging.
  19. KPITSnow
    I figured with this track it was the case. It is not the norm that a storm that impacts buffalo also impacts us.
  20. KPITSnow
    WOuld it be safe to say that on a baseline, us in WPA want the same sort of "trends" as those up in WNY?
  21. KPITSnow
    Thats a good shift. A bump 50 miles SE and we get destroyed. I feel if we can avoid the dry slot that 12-18 really is on the table for us.
  22. KPITSnow
    No matter what happens, I think someone should remind JB of his proclamation that the storm would slide off the Jersey coast. That is why you don't make definitive calls, especially as a legitimate met, 5 days out.
  23. KPITSnow
    Thank you for explaining my concerns in far more detail than I ever could.
  24. KPITSnow
    Lots of folks on the NY thread are saying that the UKMET makes zero sense. It is dropping 1-1.5 QPF everywhere here to WNY but the snow maps are all showing totals that don't come anywhere near matching the QPF output.
  25. KPITSnow
    There are some really good trends. I am hoping the euro loses the extended dry slot as it and the NAM have been pretty consistent now with it for a bit. Most mets are saying the mixing issues are likely way overdone...so the dryslot I think is the bigger concern. Also, I would LOVE to get some wind. Not blizzard level, but 20-30MPH gusts with inch per hour rates or higher will be pretty impressive.
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