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KPITSnow

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Everything posted by KPITSnow

  1. KPITSnow
    Lol, it is honestly a pretty terrible sign. We've seen this song and dance SO many times.
  2. KPITSnow
    Ouch. That is a REALLY bad sign.
  3. KPITSnow
    My point and click cut back totals and added in mix to the wording. Not a great sign.
  4. KPITSnow
    What sort of validity do you find in not only the track, but the extensive mixing it shows?
  5. KPITSnow
    Like I said, the NAM will either look like the best model ever, or the NWS should just purge it after this.
  6. KPITSnow
    Random dude in our sub haha. Hopefully he is right because there are tons of mixing issues showing up that seem suspect, much like you mentioned Bernie Rayno said.
  7. KPITSnow
    I can't help myself lol! The gradients being shown over the county are crazy though. 6 inches in the Eastern part and a foot out near the airport. That all said we are all going to get 1-1.5 inches of QPF so I would think if those mixing issues are wrong in reality we look at 10-15 inches county wide based off that.
  8. KPITSnow
    HRRR is not really dry slotting us anymore, but has mixing issues that seem pretty unbelievable to be honest.
  9. KPITSnow
    What the hell is the NBM?
  10. KPITSnow
    You trolling?
  11. KPITSnow
    You're near Detroit lol? THis post won't make popular on here haha.
  12. KPITSnow
    8 inches in the north and west part of the county by midnight on the 17z HRRR. There is a ridiculous snow "crack" I'd call it where parts of Westmoreland get like an inch. It also looks like it is not going to dry slot. To quote the great Bob Prince, this is going to be a gnat's eyelash sort of deal.
  13. KPITSnow
    17z HRRR look like it might just completely eliminate the dry slot. If that happens it is bombs away.
  14. KPITSnow
    As a counterpoint, the Euro is probably one of our worst runs in a while. "only" gives 8 inches while Youngstown sees nearly 16. Must really kill us with the dryslot, and unfortunately it has been extremely consistent with that.
  15. KPITSnow
    Anyone have any concerns with some of the trends on the RAP? It has moved progressively west and has highest totals near Cleveland now.
  16. KPITSnow
    The latest RAP is pretty bad. A huge shift west and takes the bullseye over cleveland. I hope it isn't picking up on a short term trend.
  17. KPITSnow
    Never will forget 2/5/2010 and the initial slug moving in with 1-2 inch per hour rates and yellows popping up all over the radar.
  18. KPITSnow
    This is kind of like 93 lite to be honest.
  19. KPITSnow
    The HRRR each run is trying harder and harder to fill in the dry slot and move it a bit further east. As always seems to be the case, Pittsburgh is going to be a battleground. Wouldn't be shocked if someone in the SE portion of the county sees 8-10 while the NW corner sees 14-18.
  20. KPITSnow
    Are you buying the mixing issues on the HRRR?
  21. KPITSnow
    The only model that is truly awful is the NAM, though the euro is actually not great too. The 3km NAM gives a foot and so does just about everything else with the best snows only showing 25-50 miles west. We probably see 10-12 inches regardless with I think honestly a potential for 15-18 with a small shift.
  22. KPITSnow
    Probably not. How many times here have we been 5 degrees only to be 45 and rain a day later?
  23. KPITSnow
    Lol, it was, but I think I saw MAG say that when the 3KM gets in range he tosses the regular one. THe NAM has been an extreme outlier for awhile now.
  24. KPITSnow
    Even as a MET, does it still shock you to see places go from 5 degrees to 40 and rain in 24 hours? I can't tell you how many times I've seen it here and it just blows my mind.
  25. KPITSnow
    Maybe a MET or someone who knows more can answer this. I keep seeing the NAM put out some pretty high level precip totals in what should be all snow, as in 1.5 in qpf, but the snow depth change map is only showing like 6-8 inches of snow. One, are those maps worthless, and two do some of the models struggle with thinking there are P-Type issue when there really aren't? I know people have been saying the same thing about the UKIE where it shows 1.2 inches of QPF for example and 8 inches of snow?
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