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KPITSnow

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Everything posted by KPITSnow

  1. KPITSnow
    Not to mention those areas we are sacrificing already had a 12-18 inch storm this year.
  2. KPITSnow
    Whelp, lock it in. 12 inches for all of us.
  3. KPITSnow
    Ok that makes more sense.
  4. KPITSnow
    I’m not sure I understand that though. If we do drop temps below freezing say mid afternoon Thursday there is going to be like 1-1.5 inches of frozen precip so .3 ice, 3 inches of snow, and 8 inches of sleet is what they are banking on? It has to fall as SOMETHING
  5. KPITSnow
    There is an NAM sleet map that shows a foot of sleet. I wouldn’t count on that verifying.
  6. KPITSnow
    I’m pretty sure the RGEM has been terrible all winter.
  7. KPITSnow
    My god…how much sleet is that down my way? A foot?
  8. KPITSnow
    Looking at the NAM it wouldn’t take much. I do remember a couple of systems where the front and cold air crashed through much faster than forecasted and we got blasted with more snow than expected. The NAM is a really ugly look though and hopefully is overdoing freezing rain and is more sleet.
  9. KPITSnow
    Pray for sleet
  10. KPITSnow
    The NAM gives us almost two inches of frozen precip whether that be zr, sleet, or snow. ever wanted to see half a foot of sleet? This might be your chance!
  11. KPITSnow
    That NAM run is a precip bomb with a ton of ice.
  12. KPITSnow
    I thought most of the ice was Thursday night. Point and click says 3/4 to 1 inch of precip Thursday night with a mix of everything. Friday morning will likely be a mess regardless.
  13. KPITSnow
    Looks like the 6z gfs and ensembles started ticking back north, and none of the other models really moved south. I’d guess that the death knell for us on this. Wasn’t expecting anything really but is going to suck that once again 100 miles away is going to get crushed again. I just hope we can avoid any sort of icing.
  14. KPITSnow
    I was honestly hoping that it would put this to bed, but it didn't. AMazing how wildly different the NAM and GFS are.
  15. KPITSnow
    thJust remember that means that in Cleveland they are likely getting a foot and a half lol. There were a couple like that though, January of 19 but wasn't there also an event before Thanksgiving a few years ago that we we were forecasted for a good bit of snow, but ended up 33 and rain while Norther Beaver County got 8 inches?
  16. KPITSnow
    Agree. I'll take the NAM solution of 33 and rain as opposed to some solutions that are 29 and freezing rain.
  17. KPITSnow
    Hoist the flood watches!
  18. KPITSnow
    The NAM is extremely amped up. As is tradition the low gets up to us almost lol.
  19. KPITSnow
    I mean, if that happened it would be an epic disaster, but I agree with what other have said that ZR and 31 won't really accumulate. Now if it is 28 degrees and pounding rain then we have a problem.
  20. KPITSnow
    We have seen plenty of times we have been in the bullseye 2-4 days out only to see it drift 100-200 miles the wrong direction with the MLK storm being one of those. Maybe this time can go the other way. Am I right in saying we need a very robust high up in Canada to keep this as south as possible?
  21. KPITSnow
    Would you back off? That strom had multiple models showing 12-18 inches for several days. It was an absolutely massive bust when AGC got 7 inches and didn't even hit warning level in a ton of spots.
  22. KPITSnow
    I'll listen to you on this as you kind of nailed the MLK storm a few days in advance and said there were pretty major concerns.
  23. KPITSnow
    I feel like it is a bit south of previous runs.
  24. KPITSnow
    I’d be fine with an advisory event, as long as we don’t get a boat load of ice. This one has zero expectations so anything is a bonus.
  25. KPITSnow
    It also has shifted pretty far north.
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