Wind in Sarasota definitely impressive. Power flashes all over the place on the weather channel camera. Obviously not what it was but imagine hours of possible 100 mph gusts will do a number
Man, this sucks. The gulf coast the way it is geographically set up has a lot of spots that are surprisingly not terrible for a storm to hit. Outside of Houston/galveston and New Orleans, this is probably the absolute worst place this could landfall. Honestly Tampa might be the worst case of any of them given the exposed bay where at least with Houston and New Orleans you do have some land barriers
I Am fine with people putting their amateur forecasts in the thread, but I have to say that people then constantly trying to self congratulate or almost wishcast their forecasts into existence gets very old.
Different scenario. Storms approaching from the south have a much more wild variance on where they landfall because a 25 mile east shift means 100+ miles difference on the last fkr landfall. This has a much more easterly component so you won’t see that much of a landfall adjustment
I’d think with the angle of approach track adjustments won’t be as drastic as a more southerly approaching storm. With this you’ll need an actual 100 mile south shift to go from Tampa to ft myers, where with a southern approaching storm a 25 mile further east track can be 100 mile difference on the coast where it landfalls.
When is the last time a major storm landfalled between say port charlotte and Tampa? I think it’s been a long time, and everyone focusing on Tampa is really discounting, IMO, that a landfall in say Venice would be extremely devastating as well.
All warnings have been allowed to expire, which is good. I think though the Steelers game will be delayed and may take a good hour to get back in the field
This might be one of the most surreal things I’ve ever seen. River flows just completely changed
https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/03/weather/hurricane-helene-north-carolina-before-after-images-climate/index.html
Looks like we may settle in to some fall like weather later this week…but tomorrow is going to feel closer to July than late September. Only 81 but annoying muggy for this time of year