FXWX

Unless they are newly planted trees, this year, I wouldn't worry... They may drop leaves a bit early but will be fine if they have become established over the past year or so. If they are recently planted, say this past spring, here is neat trick a landscaper friend showed me years ago. Buy lengths of 2 inch PVC conduit. Cut them into 2 or 3 foot sections and drill multiple quarter to half inch holes in the lower half of one side. Pound 2 or 3 pieces into the ground about 12 inches from the trunk; spaced out around trunk. Slide hose into the PVC and allow a slow but steady stream on water into the tube. I found it is best to get a 2 inch round pole like piece of wood or a metal pipe and use that to form the hole for the PVC. I've used this technique for years when needed; even for new shrubs

That's putting it mildly... not only garbage solution, but the suggestion the modeled track & outcome mimics 1938 is less than laughable.

That's what I'm finding as well. It took a while before the Plainville CT (Robertson Arpt) awos showed up on the plots. I do like having the Mansfield location for an additional data pt.

Is the Mansfield awos being plotted on any sfc metar pages yet? Don't see it on the NOAA gis page or Grx placefile feeds?

Agree... Agree... Agree... Hard to argue that the frequency of precipitation bombs has been increasing; be it spring, summer, fall or winter! Location and coverage of events will always be highly dependent upon short term synoptics, but certainly fits the footprint of any atmosphere that is more frequently getting H2O load!

Low 48.7

OT, but check out this outflow boundary in the Raleigh area!!!

We've just moved our house trailer to just north of the I-90 corridor.

Would not be shocked... Actually, I always like (general term) the late September into early / mid-October period for that reason alone... Far more interesting trying to time a deepening eastward trough's interaction with a tropical system moving near the Bahamas or approaching the NC coastal plain than watching a system off the EC with a lazy upper air flow. If you want some trouble, have a pattern that can rocket something north or northwest into the EC?

Yep... I agree... it will tough to not go through a formation surge moving into and through the mid-month period. Whether or not that leads to landfalls aways comes down to relatively short term pattern evolutions. Right now, I don't see an ominous EC pattern but that can change quickly.

This is sounding more and more like when we get to mid-January with squat and start screaming about how good Feb and March are looking!

Yes... Yes... Yes!!!

Go the SPC meso analysis page and scroll through the upper air section and the heavy rainfall section... deep-layered southerly flow with high values of precipitable water converging into southwest and southern CT on into parts of central CT... Note the Precipitation potential placement image...

Amazing the number of locally excessive rainfall events we have seen over the past 2 or 3 years across the Northeast.

You are not wrong; in a general sense a true EC threat has a solid fingerprint 5 to 7 days, sometimes 10 days out.

Should noted Ryan H only said "possible scattered" tree / power issues. Did not suggest a widespread issue!

While many don't agree, SNE threats or hits are very easy to see coming given the very limited upper pattern that allows it to happen. As you state, it isn't happening without a deep Ohio Valley trough. Trying to thread the needle with other upper-level setups is always a lost cause. Blocking high off to the east/northeast is helpful, but the OH Valley trough is always the main driver.

Agree... Beryl's remnant highly sheared profiles have consistently produced over the past 60 hours, as it has march northeast! Some of SPC meso products are screaming spinners, focused on central NY.... we've already seen multiple warnings across western NY... I think SPC has this nailed...

Good discussion... I'm always intrigued by severe potential that's preceded by active early morning / daybreak warm front activity. The more robust the morning activity gets the greater the potential for late morning/afternoon clearing / heating.

Multiple trees and across roads / roads closed in Burlington...

Multiple reports of trees and wires down in Litchfield cty.

Great finish to the storm day!!!

Watching SPC Tornado Parameters (Violent Parameter shown) and SPC SREF products...