FXWX

The onset rates were tremendous! The winds will high-end, plus the general public was out in mass, and there was a sense by the public that it was being over-blown. The onset of heavy heavy snow was like a curtain, making travel almost impossible shortly after onset! There is a couple of great books out there that document the event, plus the Kocin book! WBZ produced a great documentary about it; probably still out there some where.

First icing of the east-facing windows this winter!

Here is the deal with the TWS located on what was Constitution Plaza... I spent quite a bit of time there back in the day; they would actually let me in to watch what they were doing, as long as I stayed out of the way. Ken Garee was the most conservative of all the forecasters at TWS; hated to hype a storm unless it was going to be a monster. On his Sunday afternoon update the day before the 78 Blizzard, on WTIC AM, he made the following statement: "Wherever you are during the late afternoon period on Monday (the day of the Blizzard of 78) is where more likely than not you will be for the next 2 or 3 days." I never forgot the call; and at the time he was making that statement, I was looking at the LFM model panels, which had just come off of the Naval weather facsimile I had just purchased. It nailed the capture and the retrograde perfectly...

Just remember a day or two the sharp cutoff was over the Cape??? just saying?

Yes indeed

I'm betting the icing will not be a major travel issue and will primarily be focused on non-travel surfaces; trees, shrubs etc.

For you, I'd say 10 am to 10:45 am

Agree...

I've gone widespread 1-2" with spot 3" for your area...

There you go again John... Using "logic and analytic content!" That has no place in a wx forum... Be better... Lol

Any road coverage

I hear ya... for adult activities should be a different standard...

Just to put some background on the cancellation issue. Almost always, once an advisory or a warning is put into effect, most districts will cancel evening activities. Secondly, the decisions have to be made early in the afternoon; often by 1 pm. They don't have the luxury of waiting until 4 or 5 pm to see how the precipitation shield is trending. If there is even a 50/50 shot roads could develop a light coating prior to the end of the evening period, also including the time it takes for any visiting team buses to get back to their district, it's always going to be a cancellation. As it looks right now, it might have worked out, but they always will err on the side of safety, especially in the Litchfield County hilly districts. Just the nature of what the thinking is these days.

After a great run, we will see if the reggie crapped the bed this time? That's the thing about all the mesos they can have a good run or hit one storm then fail miserably.

got it... thanks

But they show a 12 to 16" color zone?

Much like summer thunderstorm rainfall totals, these meso-scale banding events can have extreme differences across very small distances; think lake effect snows??? I would dismiss it off hand?

2.2 Burlington

-3 here

Sitting at 2 degrees

I agree 100% with your general amounts overview... This is going to be a fun nowcast looking for short-term sfc obs & radar trends Saturday morning trying to sniff out the max zones before they explode? That's assuming this doesn't just fail to materialize... Trust nothing until you see the whites of their eyes type of forecasting call. Lol

I think advisories will eventually be necessary for other areas as well... North Shore a lock, but I could see the trigger being pulled for lower end advisories anywhere from portions of eastern / southeastern CT on across RI... Sometimes they will issue advisories for a glorified snow shower setup, but not jump in one a widespread solid light accumulation event...

Yep... I think it is now a foregone conclusion that there are going to be a couple of sweet spots... Lots of support, in my opinion, for a solid 3-5 inch zone across southeast CT northward along and either side of the CT/RI border area (I-395 corridor) eastward across much of RI; possibly parts of the Cape... But I expect a high-end advisory level / low-grade warning (4-8") somewhere in eastern Mass but not locked into the specific zone at this time; probably a nowcast call just before it really shows itself.

Lol... Thanks Scott; I thought it was some special run of the AI... When I saw Will use the term, I though it must be legit... I'm familiar with Terminator, but did not make the connection...

Excuse my ignorance, but the difference between "skynet" and the other euro data sources?