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FXWX

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by FXWX

  1. Once the warm surge rushed in and convective rain showers developed, it was ball game over across CT...
  2. What a little elevation can do!
  3. Snow cover hanging tough on Mountain Top Pass, Burlington, CT
  4. There are a couple of Fairfield County coastal school districts that have to alter some bus routes during events like this one...
  5. Probably need to revisit 2nd highlighted wind potential period; window probably opens up for that by very late morning into early / mid afternoon period. Models will waffle a bit with each run but overall signal has been pretty steady. In these setups a degree or two change in the vertical profile can make all the difference between a pretty run of the mill event and a widespread issue.
  6. For CT, I've hit the predawn (2 to 5 am) period pretty hard and then again the late afternoon early evening period.
  7. Always a crap shoot with southerly or southeasterly potential high wind events; many don't verify but as a forecaster you have layout the risks, but without hyping. Give me a gradient driven northwest flow event anytime. I wouldn't be shocked if the southwest / west strong wind later Friday ends up stealing the thunder from the south/southeast wind threat period.
  8. I think lots of folks have a miss understanding of what wind gust level causes damage and power issues across SNE. No one is suggesting we are looking at 55 mph sustained winds. But if any particular location hits 50 to 55 mph gust, damage will occur. It may not be widespread but there will be damage to trees in the 50-55 mph gust area. The question is how widespread will 55 mph gusts be. Obviously, if an area sees multiple 50 to 55 gusts, the amount of tree damage will increase. Also, 50-55 mph gusts occurring at tree top level is all you need. That wind speed is rarely verified at ground level. The point is 50 to 55 mph wind gust at tree top level is not meh in this region. Even one 55 mph gusts is going to produce at least some damage in the area of occurrence. The question is how frequent are 50+ mph gusts and is the coverage of the 50-55 gusts isolated, scattered or widespread.
  9. Pull the plug... Have a 21k Generac... Wonderful peace of mind... Has come in handy over the past 10 years... Don't regret the purchase at all...
  10. I've lost the link to this product; would you be kind enough to send url? Don't see the link on main BOX page?
  11. Interesting phrasing; "first few weeks of January"??? Didn't know any month could have "first few weeks"!!!!
  12. No... At least with those first 2 options, st least you get some actual weather!
  13. 5.0 here in Burlington at 1140'... just saw a great pic from one of my clients with 8" in Winsted...
  14. And that would put you right into the range the vast majority of forecasts had... 3 is fine with me...
  15. It appears the best combo of dynamics & moisture may have peaked across CT? Visibilities coming up across the region. Still several more hours of snow to go, but best accumulation rates "maybe" over?
  16. 3 locations in Burlington, CT reporting trees and wires down... Highest gusts so far at my house is 43 mph!!!
  17. I agree... I'm not absolving anyone from blame... Sometimes it's a combination of issues, poor forecast decision, lack of threat awareness, or bad decision making process... That's why I love the overly cautious DOT groups... Obviously something was wrong with how it was handled this morning in Dendrite's area.
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