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FXWX

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by FXWX

  1. I think so... At ~1,200', I expect to roar... Even better no trees near my property!!!
  2. I think lowest of elevations 40-45 mph, 500 to 1,000' 45-50 (low grade risk 50+); 1,000+ ft 50+ mph; coastal plain (especially eastern) 60+.
  3. Just getting back to work, and it appears the Euro has joined the wind party...
  4. No clue what any storm would look like yet, but do like the fact that we continue to see signals for an active pattern during the last 7 to 10 days of the month... Maybe we ended with just rain across SNE, but potential is there for a colder setup compared to what we have seen during recent past holiday periods has me intrigued... Like many recent years, we likely won't be dealing with a long duration cold pattern anytime soon, but there will be windows for some "well-timed" events, if luck is on our side?
  5. I wish it was just stupidity... Unfortunately it's designed deceit!!!
  6. Thanks Wolfie? Love the location... 1,200' elevation, few hundred feet from Litchfield cty border... Do you teach in Southington?
  7. Nevermind it was sitting right there all the time.... Don't know how my aging eyes missed it...
  8. Been trying to find that snow report graph... Is that somewhere on the BOX homepage?
  9. Can you share the link for this product?
  10. 4.5" total now at 1,200' in Burlington, CT
  11. Tough call as to how far north you have to go up the I-91 corridor to get more than a slushy cover or an inch?
  12. Litchfield City on into the high terrain areas of far western/northwestern HFD cty and then Northern Tolland on into northern Windham counties would be where I'd expect advisory statements.
  13. That's why the issuance of maps for many areas has to accompanied by a detailed topo discussion; better yet an in-person phone conversation. There is almost no way to accurately depict the gradient across your area; same for portions of western & west-central CT.
  14. I've been looking at the Probabilistic Precipitation Portal Maps (https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/Prob_Precip/) ... Their blend of models for the maps is shown in the attached text image. A combo of these maps and the HREF suite is my starting point, which I then tweak. The occasionally have a bias of being a bit too conservative but overall do a decent job.
  15. Agree... Waiting game right now... Some consistent signals that it happens far enough east focus best rates from northeast CT on north and east into interior eastern Mass.
  16. While I would remain cautious about some of increasing totals in this morning's short range guidance, there is a solid trend towards juicing this system up, as noted by Wiz... Probably going to be a 2-3 hour period of enhanced rates across parts of the region?
  17. Multiple levels of sw wind at that!
  18. We will see... Would be perfectly happy to see a normal to modestly above normal (+1 to +3) mid to late December... But fear the ability of our current climo trend to bust warmer than expected!
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