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FXWX

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by FXWX

  1. Chance of the first icy morning commute in some areas probably driving the decision. Many districts use a NWS Advisory statement in effect at the bus time during the morning commuting period as a reason to run with a delay, especially early in the season. Also, the decision is often a collaborative call with local DPW.
  2. Agree... We have lots of crappy Decembers that produce snow but it rarely sticks around long... There will be a couple of windows even during a hostile December. My pattern take has me interested in a December icing threat for portions of the region, prior to or near the mid-month period.
  3. There is a fairly long list of solid winter events occurring during the first 5 or 10 days of December regardless of ENSO state. The problem for hardcore winter snow pack lovers is that the snow cover rarely sticks around long.
  4. About 16 out of 20 of those solutions produce little or no significant impacts across the locations he outlined!!! He also stated he sees a signal during a time frame that has been discussed for more than a week by many others.
  5. Interesting in that this look is the look many of the seasonal model runs have painted for the Jan/Feb period? While it's possible that it fails a bit given it's fighting mid fall temp Nov climo, but if this represents where the mid/late winter pattern wants to go, I'd jump all over it...
  6. Good to see you are in midwinter form... Certainly an early tease, but history indicates noteworthy early season threats are usually very dynamic setups... at least we are tracking something other than rain and dews...
  7. I think the silver heads comment was a bit harsh... Lol... By the way, many of them will have stocked up by Sunday based on tv hype...
  8. For a variety of reasons, especially the low-level thermals, dynamics have to really ramp up more than currently modeled for this to do much of anything south of Pike. And that assumes, there will be a system?
  9. What is your over / under number on CT power outages? Right now, I'm on the low side of any number unless it's zero! Lol
  10. Also... By the 5th of Nov we will be able to see the Euro weenie maps an hour earlier... Lol...
  11. You can see that happening for a particular storm, but tough to get the entire snow season to have that type of distribution... Maybe there will only be one storm for the whole season and it will be an I-95 crusher!!! Lol
  12. Yikes... Brain freeze... I totally forgot about the early Oct heat! My focus on weekend ruining rain events has obviously gotten the better of me!!!
  13. Not that I follow BAMwx, but saw this screen grab of their winter snowfall on X... Probably not going to put smiles on the faces of snow lovers... again, this is their assessment, not mine...
  14. Thank you... not sure where that link went in my bookmarks, but that's the one... Stay dry; lol
  15. Off topic... looking for the link that shows current locations of airport AWOS / ASOS units? Specifically, for KBDR? looking for map or image showing the location of the ASOS at BDR? I used to have a for this info, but can't find it? thx
  16. Agree... I went with low clouds/fog/mist/drizzle with very spotty areas of light rain, but nothing significant for the majority of the region until later this evening; did highlight eastern CT for some decent showers this morning into early afternoon...
  17. No biggie... not terribly important in the grand scheme of things; pretty common occurrence in these low-level saturated setups. Visibility down to a few hundred feet in the hills... at least locally... couple models, especially euro, the nailed eastern CT rain this morning.
  18. Actually the radar is missing quite a bit of drizzle and light rain... had to take a drive from Burlington to New Britain and back through the Farmington Valley west into the Harwinton area and went through several pockets of drizzle / light rain... none of which were on the radar...
  19. This is one my stratus rain gauges that had not been emptied since Sept. 23rd...
  20. Agree... while heavy / excessive totals are unusually limited in coverage as one would expect, the frequency of these locally excessive events since July has been amazing. And I do think the big storm frequency will carry over into the cold season, especially Jan/Feb.
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