FXWX

My 2-cents, since I deal with about 100 school districts here in CT... there is no consensus on what to do on days like this... A multitude of folks are involved with the decision... In some towns, the issuance of a Warning or Advisory is sufficient to cause a delay, early D or outright cancellation. Wind and flash flood events, given their highly variable nature in terms of impacts at anyone location, the decision is compounded by the fact that most of the time only a few streets are impacted, but those that could produce deadly results. Most schools will not dismiss early today, but all of them have been assessing the issue, and getting feedback from local emergency managers, police and DPW personnel. Some folks are just too uncomfortable with a worse case outcome and will dismiss early. But even that is an issue. Most bus runs take 90 minutes to 2 hours to complete... trying to time when a tree might fall is impossible. The bottom line is that these decisions are not just made willy nilly... Input comes from multiple sources and the final decision is made with those inputs in mind. We had a rotten tree bring down wires yesterday in an eastern CT district. Not weather related, but people still complained about it! I have been on conference calls and email chains for a few days now, and trust me people are trying to do the best they can knowing full well the inherent complicated nature of disruptive / dangerous weather events...

Ok... Agree with eastern Plymouth county thoughts. While many of the modeled maps are clownish, I think you are in a good spot to rip 55 to 60 mph just overhead; whether or not it will get to ground level is always the challenge. The the forecasted warming of the sfc & boundary layers certainly won't hurt!!! Probably will be able to hear the LLJ ripping by a few hundred feet overhead. Meanwhile folks with anemometers on a 10 ft pole attached to their deck will complain they never busted 25 mph.

As the crow flies, how far are you from the water?

I think so... At ~1,200', I expect to roar... Even better no trees near my property!!!

I think lowest of elevations 40-45 mph, 500 to 1,000' 45-50 (low grade risk 50+); 1,000+ ft 50+ mph; coastal plain (especially eastern) 60+.

Just getting back to work, and it appears the Euro has joined the wind party...

No clue what any storm would look like yet, but do like the fact that we continue to see signals for an active pattern during the last 7 to 10 days of the month... Maybe we ended with just rain across SNE, but potential is there for a colder setup compared to what we have seen during recent past holiday periods has me intrigued... Like many recent years, we likely won't be dealing with a long duration cold pattern anytime soon, but there will be windows for some "well-timed" events, if luck is on our side?

I wish it was just stupidity... Unfortunately it's designed deceit!!!

Thanks Wolfie? Love the location... 1,200' elevation, few hundred feet from Litchfield cty border... Do you teach in Southington?

Certainly a great wintery feel & look!

Nevermind it was sitting right there all the time.... Don't know how my aging eyes missed it...

Been trying to find that snow report graph... Is that somewhere on the BOX homepage?

Can you share the link for this product?

5.5"

Better luck next time...

4.5" total now at 1,200' in Burlington, CT

3.0" here at 1,200'

Desktop is working on mine...

Tough call as to how far north you have to go up the I-91 corridor to get more than a slushy cover or an inch?

Litchfield City on into the high terrain areas of far western/northwestern HFD cty and then Northern Tolland on into northern Windham counties would be where I'd expect advisory statements.

Yes it does... And makes lots sense...

That's why the issuance of maps for many areas has to accompanied by a detailed topo discussion; better yet an in-person phone conversation. There is almost no way to accurately depict the gradient across your area; same for portions of western & west-central CT.

Just under an inch here in Burlington, CT!

I've been looking at the Probabilistic Precipitation Portal Maps (https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/Prob_Precip/) ... Their blend of models for the maps is shown in the attached text image. A combo of these maps and the HREF suite is my starting point, which I then tweak. The occasionally have a bias of being a bit too conservative but overall do a decent job.

Agree... Waiting game right now... Some consistent signals that it happens far enough east focus best rates from northeast CT on north and east into interior eastern Mass.