Interesting in that this look is the look many of the seasonal model runs have painted for the Jan/Feb period? While it's possible that it fails a bit given it's fighting mid fall temp Nov climo, but if this represents where the mid/late winter pattern wants to go, I'd jump all over it...
Good to see you are in midwinter form... Certainly an early tease, but history indicates noteworthy early season threats are usually very dynamic setups... at least we are tracking something other than rain and dews...
For a variety of reasons, especially the low-level thermals, dynamics have to really ramp up more than currently modeled for this to do much of anything south of Pike. And that assumes, there will be a system?
You can see that happening for a particular storm, but tough to get the entire snow season to have that type of distribution... Maybe there will only be one storm for the whole season and it will be an I-95 crusher!!! Lol
Not that I follow BAMwx, but saw this screen grab of their winter snowfall on X... Probably not going to put smiles on the faces of snow lovers... again, this is their assessment, not mine...
Off topic... looking for the link that shows current locations of airport AWOS / ASOS units? Specifically, for KBDR? looking for map or image showing the location of the ASOS at BDR? I used to have a for this info, but can't find it? thx
Agree... I went with low clouds/fog/mist/drizzle with very spotty areas of light rain, but nothing significant for the majority of the region until later this evening; did highlight eastern CT for some decent showers this morning into early afternoon...
No biggie... not terribly important in the grand scheme of things; pretty common occurrence in these low-level saturated setups. Visibility down to a few hundred feet in the hills... at least locally... couple models, especially euro, the nailed eastern CT rain this morning.
Actually the radar is missing quite a bit of drizzle and light rain... had to take a drive from Burlington to New Britain and back through the Farmington Valley west into the Harwinton area and went through several pockets of drizzle / light rain... none of which were on the radar...
Agree... while heavy / excessive totals are unusually limited in coverage as one would expect, the frequency of these locally excessive events since July has been amazing. And I do think the big storm frequency will carry over into the cold season, especially Jan/Feb.