FXWX

Actually quite a few. A hardware chain up there is one of my clients and they fly off the shelves every storm... Usually they try to get extra units in the days leading up to an event. But the number of folks without still very much out weighs the number that do...

49 mph gust here... 1,160' elevation... 10 meter tower.

Yep

Just a note since I am already dealing with this issue... If HWW continues for parts of eastern CT, superintendents are going to pull the plug... Especially in heavily wooded towns...

The blend product certainly should grab attention... Best to treat this as a hybrid tropical system... Using last week's storm as a general baseline for wind but increasing 15 to 20 mph over those numbers.

That's the best part...

Well... 0z Nam was right out of Kevin's wet dream!!! Yikes....

It's always a factor... Kinda offset this time of the year by lack of leaves.

Agree to disagree... I would confidently predict, far more damage has occurred over the decades during the cold season from gradient driven northwest backside winds than southeast flow events. Especially inland zones. Not trying to Debbie downer and think this one has some decent support...

Of course, that assumes they will be correct, which we all know is frequently not always the case. I do find this system to have a slightly higher chance of verifying; again favoring eastern coastal zones. The last system featured a steadily decreasing threat as we moved from last Friday on into Sunday. Right now, with another 48 hours of trend watching to go, this system seems to be holding a bit more steady... For inland areas, the systems I tend to get excited about are northwest flow events driven by tightening pressure gradients and strong CAA... These southerly flow events are very hard get most inland areas to see widespread damaging gusts... It can happen, but they are relatively rare. I'd watch for any trends of note with the 0z runs... Any backing down would be a red flag....once again the focus is on eastern coastal areas, where if you are not breaking 55 mph, it's not a big deal.

It was clear to me, as the overall greatest risk was (no shock) eastern areas; especially the coastal plain.

That's the one

Don't put more hype into Coastal's post then he intended. "Caa mixes to and above 925 perhaps briefly". He is not indicating a high probability but a "chance for a brief mixing"... He certainly is not hyping it... That being said this setup has a bit more potential than last week's but not yet a lock by any means.

Agree... I still think the long range modeling had it right about Jan & Feb featuring Pacific energy under-cutting higher heights across western and central Canada leading to a very active storm pattern... The only question will be amount of cold sitting across eastern Canada and the Northeast prior to the arrival of each storm. I would roll the dice with this type of pattern any winter. Hopefully we see cold periods hang in there enough times to allow for some widespread snow events...

All kidding aside, I enjoy browsing around a good bookstore. When we travel I try to make a point of checking out the local book section in book stores... I've found some gems featuring local storm events... The best pictorial book on the 38 hurricane I ever came across was found in a bookstore in Watch Hill...

Old people do!!! Lol

I've seen in book stores; Barnes & Nobles?

Folks forget or choose not to remember the El Nino discussions during the early fall that strongly suggested December would likely run the risk of a being an above normal month with thread the needle events for any shot at meaningful snow threats. In a lot of ways this December is playing out pretty much according to classic past El Nino years... The same long-range outlooks the pointed out the risk of a warmer than normal December, also pointed toward the pattern improving once into or just beyond the Xmas holiday week. I am in that camp even if the shift to a more favorable setup waits until early January. This December pattern is nothing like last December and the global pattern is very different. I do not expect the pattern to flip into an unusually cold regime once into early January and I don't think one is needed to see significant Northeast snows. As we all know, pattern transitions are commonly a bit later the originally thought so no one should be surprised if the more favorable pattern waits a week or more later than originally projected. I don't think anyone is talking about a Jan 2015 type of flip, but I expect the large-scale NA pattern will grow more favorable for significant storm action moving into January, even if the regional temperature pattern is close to normal or a bit above normal. The pattern laid out by 40/70 is a very realistic path forward and one that fits where I think the long-range modeling seems likely to go: In short, more western ridging, an active Pacific jet under-cutting Western ridging and enough high latitude blocking to allow seasonably cold air masses to visit on a regular basis...

Rain in the process of changing to a bit of wet, non-accumulating snow here in Burlington, CT...

Yes indeed...

Love it... The telegraph weather forums were going crazy depressed settlers during some of those years... Lol

Yes... It is a great book... Full of the history of New England weather from cold to heat, snowstorms, hurricanes and tornadoes. It's actually a great coffee table book. I've had it for 40 years and still thumb through it a few times a year... Highly recommended...

Folks should go and read David Ludlum New England Weather Book... Wonderful sections on the winters of the 1700/1800 time span... You will come across quotes from journals and diaries written back then complaining about the lack of cold and snow compared to past winters...

Sorry for late reply, but short answer is yes. That does not mean tweaks don't have to be made, but overall I prefer the euro evolution in the short and medium range terms...