FXWX

Summer project almost complete! 30' hinged fiberglass pole, easily lowered for maintenance!

Lol... His above average snowfall map even includes the Florida Keys... That's all you need to know.... Lol.

Denial is never healthy... Lol

While I understand some folks wanting to fantasize, especially during pitifully boring times, in the history of East Coast hurricane forecasting, nothing has changed! The major pattern players are always the same, as Ryan, Tip and Coastal have pointed out; anomalous positive heights in the northwest Atlantic (Newfound wheel) and troughing moving east or digging southeast from TN/OH valley region. There are other setups that can tease a coastal run, but they inevitably bend east/northeast. Of all the SNE storm patterns, the hurricane threat pattern is actually one of the easiest to pick out! And this setup would need massive changes to morph into meaningful threat. Forget about tracking every little shift in Erin's track. Look north and west for the answer!

THIS!!! There is a very clear pattern that brings the storms up the coast to do damage. This is not even close to it.

It will... But the opportunities will just be less frequent... As for the Aug-Oct trends, are just the reality of our short term climate trends.

I think there is a photo of Eisenhower pointing a map showing Carol hitting North Dakota.

Unfortunately in 1954 it took the human computers using slide rulers until 1956 to produce the next day's track forecast! Lol

"Likely" is a strong call? Dry patterns are not the most conducive for New England hurricanes... Wet August and Septembers preferred in my thinking??

Might setoff KevRecho...

Lol... Given the time frame, I'd call it a success if even a stray thunderstorm formed 354 hours out... Seeing a constant flow posts like me; and they we wonder why the science gets mocked... If this keeps up, RFK Jr is going to get appointed to head NWS!

Here, it would come with zero forcing / lifting features...

Obviously beyond speculation time frame, but the modeled back side winds usually don't verify; chop off at least 30%.

Wow... Your strong nor'easter rating is pretty impressive! My scale is considerably lower... Lol

Nothing wrong with fantasizing? Every once in awhile mother nature surprises us.

They always look so pretty on the charts but the reality of any actual impacts given a track like that usually leads to disappointment...

In that position and on that track it's impacts would be less than a strong Nor'easter for the Cape...

All set... Thanks for the help...

Its a pixel 6... I'm going to try the sign-out deal... should have thought about that first...

OT... trying to do a password reset due to loss of data on my phone... It's asking for my old password, which was lost when data became corrupted... Thoughts?

Don't underplay southeastern NY northeast across Fairfield County / Litchfield County area?

https://x.com/Danbury_WX/status/1948923856086851981?t=eW-XQXLT2YuoWhwNOVHqDA&s=19

Got that right

Couple of trees down in Waterbury

Agree! While there are a handful of great Mets on here that apply actual forecast techniques to their outlook comments, many posters are just regurgitating whatever the newest model run shows, regardless of its likelihood of occurrence...