FXWX

Wonderful... I may need one soon

Good luck Steve... How was your recovery / PT from your first knee op? I hear it can be tough?

Thanks Tip... I fully understand the spacing issue with respect to the isohypses controlling the overall speed; the tighter the speed gradient (so to speak) the faster the flow; also I get the suppression process. What I was inquiring about is do you just scan the isohypses spacing, or do you look for a specific gradient value, if you get my drift? Have you come across any papers discussing the increasing speed / shear issue; compared to years or decades ago?

Hey Tip... Happy NY... When you say "a speed surplus problem on GFS" how are you determining that?

Couple appears off the table...

Costed up here...

3.5 for Burlington., CT

Great Squall event, and in my opinion wonderfully modeled...

I actually prefer this look to a massive almost stationary anomalous block... Massive blocks are often associated with suppression issues? Most big dog events are within -/+ NAO transitions, anyways. All in all, I'm good playing tag with offshore ridge.

Good reminder to folks that it's more than the pretty colors. While this may well evolve into a significant block, as you note, the current depiction of that upper height field does not qualify as a block; at least not yet.

Snow cover decreased, but not destroyed in the Johnnycake mountain area of Burlington CT; sunset rays doing a great job of illuminating the neighborhood houses...

Absolutely no need for those conditions... Terrible DPW management!

Need to be wary... Moderate / heavy rainfall rates are a negative for big accreation... Significant icing for sure (0.5"), from what I can tell much of the qpf occurs during a relative short period of time. In this setup 0.75 to 1.00 qpf does not equate to 0.75 to 1.0 inches of ice...

My DOT guy is out measuring around town now... Indicating there could be more 10's than 8's. My specific location is a bear to measure; even with only a modest wind like last night, I get lots variability across my property.

8.4 here in Burlington; my guy in Wolcott measured 8.5.