FXWX

My son-in-law's first day back at Otis Airport Coast Guard station Falmouth!

Yearly fee... They used to only be interested in winter weather... But now ask for consultation during all outdoor events, including concerts, graduations, field days, sporting events etc, any disruptive weather event that could impact travel, lightning threats, etc...

I don't make the decision, I just layout the options... and there was a very good one available...

You should try it... Lots of fun... Lol

That's exactly how he wanted to play it when I communicated with him late in the day Tuesday.

There wasn't! The time frame was predicted perfectly. I should know since I'm the guy they conferenced with at 4 am. The arrival time was always prior to commuting period! The intensity level certainly did exceed expectations, but snow during the commuting period was never in question. Any that's why the option for a delay with a reassessment after onset was discussed.

So much I can say, but will not... But a period of snow was always forecast to fall during the commuting period... Whenever that is going to occur, the best option is to delay and then reassess. There were some districts that announced the delay and reassessment routine Tuesday evening.

The rapid increase in intensity as it moved into far western CT was the real issue. It was tied to a strong 850 / 700 mb warm advection process. It showed up on the spc meso analysis page, but there was low confidence it would materialize. Instead of getting 2+ inches in 5 hours we got it in an hour and a half to 2 hours. That's why I thought the best play for schools was long delay with reassessment as it showed itself more clearly. We get one of these snow ramp ups during the drive period once a winter.

Interesting? Bottom line it is always about safety; always lots of different opinions about how to interpret a forecast? I have districts that are going to do long delay and then check in with DPW to see how roads are responding to scraping and treatments. If the feedback is positive, stick with delay; if feedback is negative due snowfall intensity and road conditions, pull the plug.

It flips around too much for my liking. Too many Big run to run changes; if 0z mesos follow suite then I would take note.

Not shocked given some ongoing issues in that area. I do think 3 inches is the possible, but I have stayed under that other than indicating spotty areas; yet to be determined. Odd they used wording of heavy band of snow... They are one of my clients and I did not use the term heavy nor 3"expected. Concerns over ongoing road issues and a period accumulating snow; certainly! Enjoy the time with the rugrats, can never get enough time with the little ones.

Some areas a certainly still a concern; your area in particular...

could be... worth reconsideration early tomorrow... I never recommend what to do... but will voice my opinion about the current forecast trends, and how I expect roads to behave during the mid / late morning period... Litchfield county may over-perform... Considering a long delay to reassess is certainly a good option... as long as parent are ready to react, which is a huge issue...

Their plan is to call a delay and see what road crews think around 9 am... if things are trending well on roads, then you go in... I do like their call..

Its almost always about the timing... If it is snowing during bus travel time, the vast majority of the districts will cancel... Although tomorrow, there may be a move to long delays to allow for any scraping and treatment routines to have run their course; given the lightness of the event... at least that is what I am hearing???