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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    It’s truly extraordinary to see this kind of stuff so close to an event. Even if it’s 20mb too deep, I think it’d be an all time record for the region.
  2. WxWatcher007
    I am hacking the holy hell out of my work calendar for basically the next two weeks. We went from 0 to 100 in the snap of a finger in the basin.
  3. WxWatcher007
    The benchmark hurricane.
  4. WxWatcher007
    Recon reporting multiple vortices rotating around the eye.
  5. WxWatcher007
    Really illustrates how much track uncertainty there is. Definitely worth watching even for the east coast because the latter period pattern could have a trough cutting off and ridge blocking an east escape path if it crossed into the Atlantic.
  6. WxWatcher007
    Gaston!
  7. WxWatcher007
    Starting to see much higher SFMR readings and FL winds. Eyewall is closed now too. No question that it’s a major now. Off to the races tonight, I think.
  8. WxWatcher007
    It’d probably put me a little ahead of where I want to be with my peak forecast too lol. Crazy how Gaston was a sheared low last night.
  9. WxWatcher007
    Picked up a quick .33”
  10. WxWatcher007
    What are you thinking with regard to impacts further west? How unusual is it to see a S to N track? I imagine that has surge implications.
  11. WxWatcher007
    Gaston on the board. Hermine not too far behind. Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20)Named Storms: 10 (4)Hurricanes: 6 (3)Major Hurricanes: 4 (1)
  12. WxWatcher007
    Oh Canada https://www.cbc.ca/player/play/1841452099596/
  13. WxWatcher007
    Best place to be is in the bullseye ten days out.
  14. WxWatcher007
    My calendar is cleared…
  15. WxWatcher007
    Yasss notching another one at 5pm. 98L isn’t far behind.
  16. WxWatcher007
    I wonder what kind of surge potential there is with this track. The guidance is pretty tightly clustered right now.
  17. WxWatcher007
    Exceptionally powerful look on both the Euro and GFS. 12z Euro.
  18. WxWatcher007
    12z Euro
  19. WxWatcher007
    Yeah I’m thinking it’s probably in the 940-50mb range which is already big time. It is extraordinary to see the ensemble members of the EPS be so deep though.
  20. WxWatcher007
    920s would be hard, but 940s/950s certainly look doable, especially if Fiona takes off further south and is slower to weaken. Like Ray said, the transition blows this up. The angle of approach probably maximizes potential too.
  21. WxWatcher007
    I’ve been closely tracking it for a few days now. It’s pretty incredible to see the EPS members throwing out these solutions. We’ll see if it verifies.
  22. WxWatcher007
    Good catch. Fixed. Thanks.
  23. WxWatcher007
    Heh, since writing that 97L became a TD and is expected to become a NS, and 98L became a cherry with a special NHC update.
  24. WxWatcher007
  25. WxWatcher007
    I don't really think they jumped. The explanation in the 5am disco was compelling to me. It does look borderline now though.
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