WxWatcher007

Truly excellent work. Thank you!

That’s the last thing I want. I’d rather roll the dice with strong lows than hearing about deamplifying trends all season long.

Highly, highly unlikely imo.

Giving thanks under candlelight like in 1625?

We love to see it. Obviously it’s all about snow come Dec 1 on but that cross polar flow looks excellent to give us chances. Nobody would scoff at a nice SWFE followed by deep cold. Just need to keep the Grinch at bay later in the month. I was in DC. The city missed on that first significant event that month but much of the region cashed in. It was then wall to wall winter after Jan 1.

Did the same here at WXW1. Grueling stuff but it feels good when it's done. This GFS run also tries to bring tropical out of the Gulf at the same time Not sure how good a pattern that is for snow up at WXW2, but I feel pretty confident that we'll be getting below zero quite a bit if that Canada cold press comes through. Last December the village got below zero four times. KSLK got there six times.

This is all very helpful. We're closing in a couple days and we've been wondering whether we should get gutters or not. I don't want to spend thousands on something that's going to get ripped down in two years. Sounds like more insulation may be the better investment for now at least.

There have been some really good seasons and storms down there relative to Mid-Atlantic climo. My first season down there was 2013-14, which is my favorite season. Wall to wall winter in DC from January 1-late March. Much like us, the last decade has been rough. We really need to see the return of good coastals. I know Ray hates them, but Miller A’s can be solid from DC to Portland if you do it right. Hopefully everyone can cash in this winter.

Can I ask a dumb question? I’ve noticed that gutters aren’t really a thing in my area, is that because of ice dams?

Models converging on a little clipper moving through the area Sunday-Monday. Not much room but let’s amp that up a little.

This is just mind blowing and horrifying to me

The rev has forsaken his flock

Yeah. Night and day on the GFS and Euro.

Yep. 12° at WXW2 last night and down to 19.8° so far tonight.

Nice. Congrats man.

Low of 12.2° at WXW2 in the village. We finally got the clear to close so I’ll have a fixed location for wx obs soon. Wife won’t like the cost of a new Davis but I told her it’s top of the priorities list lol.

2020-21 is my only near normal snowfall year. It was good one. Feb ‘24 might be one of my all time favorites. I read through that thread every so often to remind myself that miracles do happen.

December ‘20 was great here. The one of the two 12” events since 2018-19. Of course…just a few weeks later we had King Grinch. That’s what I want to avoid. More than I want a big December snow.

Yeah it’s an impossible task. I use the KTYX radar most of the time. It’ll be interesting in the summer for sure. I’m used to good radar coverage.

Xmas ‘02. One of my favorite events.

It was a good event in Saranac Lake, better than originally expected. It’s early, but I’ve noticed 1) BTV underestimates snow potential here and 2) it’s often snowing even when the radar looks clear We’ll have non-accumulating flakes during the day and as soon as the sun sets BAM we’re approaching an inch of fluff.

45.2° at WXW1 (current location) 27.7° at WXW2 BDL is -1.0° on the month while SLK is -3.3° To @WinterWolf’s point, this has been a very nice step down. A slightly BN month in SNE with a brief mild up the last week of November and then possible cold right after is about as much as you can ask for.

Isn’t that a common thing among these establishments?

I’m modestly intrigued.

I don’t post here often, but happened to stumble upon this just now. Agree with what you said—it has been cloudy and windy (and snowy) with the coldest air masses—not great for rad cooling. I also agree with Bluewave on how warm Canada has been generally in recent years. If you look at most recent Decembers, with the exception of last year they have been headed in a warmer direction. The locals here talk about how fast a start it has been with snow, but we haven’t had any truly cold nights relative to what the area can get (not that I’m a local, I’m new to the area). It’s been a cold month overall however. The airport is -3.3° as of 11/17. Normal hi/lo for today is 41/21. In the village we had a low today of 24…but we’re currently at 27° and will struggle to hit freezing again.