WxWatcher007

Yes. This valley dweller is the one who should be worried.

Low of 16.7° here.

Pope and his Archbishop in SW CT say come on over.

Yeah, we’d sign for that.

Yeah I think coastal areas (especially SE CT) are cooked. Just have to hope for a burst that drops a quick light coating in the overnight period. At least given the look right now.

I like what I’ve seen from the NAM and now GFS. Let’s make that a trend… I’d roll the dice with that even here imby.

GFS looks a touch more robust.

NW just seems to do better generally not having to deal with a torched BL. Saving a tenth of qpf could add a little more there compared to my valley backyard that’ll be 17° this morning and struggle to drop below 38 when it matters lol. Agree that the best “dynamics” are east, but not sure the ceiling is that high. We hope.

I’m hedging conservative on this one so far. C-2 for CT. But if there’s an area that could do well it’s yours and the NW hills.

I canceled winter by Christmas that year lol, so hopefully you’re right. Low of 17.8°. Not bad at all.

I’m in East Hartford. I’d love to get an advisory event by mid-month and a warning level event by the end. That’d put me right around normal for the month. I’m always more bothered by a storm underperforming than a modeled pattern not popping a low. The tangible losses hurt me the most.

After the last half decade, even a perfect pattern on paper becomes “proceed with caution” in reality. I do think it’s important that the look we’re seeing is fundamentally different from the ones we’ve seen in recent years with troughs getting buried on the west coast. Having a much more favorable Pacific gives me some cautious hope that a blowtorch completely-close-the-shades pattern from Dec-March is less likely. We need to produce in our windows, absolutely. But we also need to remember climo at least down here in the tropics of CT remains essentially hostile until about mid-month. Getting on the board and not reverting to the annual blowtorch as we move into Christmas week (or having it on the horizon) is a win imo.

Yep

Warmest November on record at Hartford and the driest fall on record.

Having a winter where temps average even normal down here would have the general public feeling like it’s the coldest winter this century lol. There have been some absolute blowtorches here in recent years.

Sub 40° high for the last day of November here at home.

The best late March snows are the late day into evening ones. Unless you’re mentally done with winter and don’t want to shovel your driveway lol.

Late March is also very different from early March in terms of feel.

Lock it. QC is an awesome city.

No coating here but some back deck stickage briefly.

Flakes flying here in East Hartford

I had a few flakes here in central CT earlier, but that was it.

Watertown is one of my favorite places. It’s a great spot for an LES chase off Ontario.

Listen, I’m tired of perfect track 38° rainers. My backyard needs radical change.