WxWatcher007

Yeah I’m not sure there’s a lot of trust in forecasts generally, but the storm being the lead story for a few days isn’t necessarily hype in my book. Now, if you’re not adjusting your forecast as you’re certainly heading toward a bust, that’s a whole different issue and problematic. Other than the clowns online using 925mb wind images and calling this tropical, I didn’t see a lot of hype, but we probably have different definitions of what hype is. Showing a legitimate rain and wind forecast map and saying we don’t usually get these in September doesn’t rise to the level for me.

Raining good here. Keep it coming.

Hard for me to find a window where a H could develop in the Atlantic. It'll probably have to be some subtropical surprise. One or two would do wonders for my peak season forecast. Running short on time.

In Taunton.

TFizz is that you?

Maybe another 2” of rain coming?

There's a new orange in the central Atlantic. Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Fay, located well to the west-southwest of the Azores. 1. Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL91): A surface trough of low pressure located several hundred miles east of Bermuda continues to produce an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicates the system is producing winds of 30-35 mph and has a sharp wind shift, though lacks a closed circulation due to its fast forward motion. Environmental conditions appear somewhat favorable for additional development of this system, especially as its forward motion slows down. A tropical depression could form by the early to mid portion of this week as the system initially moves northward before turning eastward tomorrow over the central Subtropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Starting to see the second firehose take shape to the south. Long way to go with this.

Can you imagine a storm like that today in our backyard? Unbelievable.

With a STJ on steroids this winter, there’s going to be an absolute nuke of a storm at some point.

Did they? Damn Nobody is saying this is historic, btw. It's not even top 25 for fall nor'easters probably. It's just a solid storm breaking the monotony.

1.56" total so far here @WinterWolf Looks like the Euro nailed the big rain signal. Wouldn't be surprised if I doubled this total after tonight-Monday.

Sure. But that was 76 years ago. Those clearly don't walk through the door often. A good tropical storm could bring inland winds. Outside of that, or the extreme event you mention, it probably ain't happening inland. I'm talking about legit 60+ mph frequent gusts, not a wintertime fropa that brings strong but sub-severe gusts.

This may be a setup for the Adirondacks to see first flakes by mid-October.

Tropical is the only way.

I posted an ob of 50kt there a page or two ago

Really incredible ends of the spectrum