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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. It wasn’t high end regionally, but it was good enough for some excitement. That’s going to be hard to come by this season. I have extremely low expectations in the basin this season.
  2. Ironically, while all that was happening I was at the science center here with my niece.
  3. That is a really really rough look for the Atlantic and MDR especially. Stability/subsidence is going to be a massive issue in the tropical Atlantic this year.
  4. Boom boom https://www.boston.com/news/local-news/2026/05/30/boom-heard-boston-massachusetts-social-media/?p1=hp_primary
  5. Still thinking mid-June has a chance for tropical.
  6. I’ll take a Bob redux, please and thank you.
  7. I posted a few days ago elsewhere that I thought the window would open around mid-June. We certainly do see models rushing the favorable window sometimes, especially early in the season. Hard to believe we’re almost near the official start of the season.
  8. Might be a little rough out that way, but I think we're going to be mostly fine here. Honestly, just seeing daylight later and later is great. Summer is awesome.
  9. Faker than an SGA foul call but the season is upon us…
  10. Almost time for me to end my tropical hibernation lol. At the very least the SE should get come much needed rain in the coming weeks. The operational GFS is doing its usual nonsense but the ensemble signal on the GEFS/EPS should raise an eyebrow. This is a good early season test for AI models like the GDM on whether it can accurately sniff out these marginal early season signals/false alarms.
  11. Haha, I'm back in CT now but life has definitely returned up there. SLK was a ghost town in March and April lol. Now there are boats on the water, hikers on the trails, and restaurants reopening.
  12. 32.2 at WXW2 this morning, but man did it turn beautiful.
  13. Last season was so crazy. I had my hotel and flight booked for SC after it looked like a strike was coming and then the models completely flipped lol. First window for activity may be around mid-June if the MJO goes favorable.
  14. Lawns looking great across the area
  15. Not really much of a signal yet, but if there’s a window for homebrew I think it’ll be early. Really hope I’m not hopping on a flight to chase a 45mph TS this season.
  16. I’m really interested to see if the AI guidance on balance continues its usefulness (originally I wanted to say dominance but that’s probably a bit too much) in TC genesis and forecasting this season. It’ll likely be a quiet season, and that’ll be a good test of how it sniffs out favorable windows. Last season some of the AI was exceptional, especially GDM.
  17. Well see you next November for winter coverage because I’ve already canceled Atlantic Hurricane Season 2026 Don’t think I moved back yet but I def don’t remember this day.
  18. September July October June December August November January February April March
  19. Isn’t drought severity relative though? Our location makes it exceptionally difficult to sustain the kind of droughts we see in the west, but that doesn’t make a bad drought here any less bad relative to what’s normal. At any rate, I think there’s been substantial improvement from where we were last year.
  20. Happy Mother’s Day to all the moms out there!
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