Something consistent across most guidance is you can probably close the shades for a bit when this weekend doesn’t produce.
most are consistent in offering a few cutters leading up to Christmas
Ensembles don’t look great for Sunday. Lots of nothing with some decent members mixed in.
i think it’s a dangerous game for people to be playing with regards to thinking this one will have to work out because we’ve been porked so bad
No, but am I wrong in thinking the features that decide what will happen are getting setup sooner rather than later?
I think Wiz pointed this out earlier
That 18z gfs run looks a lot like the euro, which isn’t a good thing. A scraper with marginal temps on the south coast.
The differences are subtle, but they were evident kind of earlier in the run. Not a ton of time to change those for the better
Hard disagree. They are two separate distinct shortwaves.
Id be more concerned they are spaced so closely that they gum it up, and they both suck, which I’d actually place as probably the second biggest concern, to the sharpening trough.
The most interesting thing about this December for me is whether or not this will be year 15 in a row without a white Christmas.
Last one was 2010.
id love to know when the last time this area went that long, if ever
Yup. It really can’t get any worse. And we have nothing really concrete or imminent in this area.
If we get through another week with nothing looming, outside of a cutter and moderation Christmas week, look out
The Canadian is a parade of weak clippers generally traversing north of us, with shredded precip fields. And then it’s gearing up for the massive cutter at the end of the run.
Ugly 12z so far
It’s sad that it’s come to this to find fantasy snow, but posting a 300+ hour map is crazy. The evolution of this will be completely different run to run for the next week.