You’ve mentioned that in the past and it’s stuck with me. Small window for a snowstorm, large window for a Rainer, because ultimately, nobody cares if it cuts over Albany or Detroit, same result.
The strong primary is essentially a nonstarter south of the pike outside of rare circumstances. I’d feel better up towards the pike and especially Ray North.
Im not sure why being pessimistic, especially the last 3 years, damages credibility, but blindly believing every threat will improve, does not. It goes both ways.