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TauntonBlizzard2013

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Everything posted by TauntonBlizzard2013

  1. Another shift like that and it’s a warning event for Eastern Ma
  2. Euro AI is like 75-100 miles from being a really good event South of Boston, as is, kind of just another middling low end advisory
  3. If I get 6-12 I’ll snow low in flip flops and tank top. Book it
  4. Advisory event on the gfs for Eastern areas. Mega step back, as many expected. Now does that continue or do others come west
  5. I mean we all knew that lol. It happened like 3 days ago. Same story? Same result. I sincerely mean this, we can’t get to spring fast enough. I’m tired of this
  6. The gfs being one of the first models out is crazy. Probably should reverse the order
  7. Is this not identical to what just happened regarding this Friday? Gfs was completely out to lunch. Showed a blizzard, and then marched a thousand miles offshore in 4 runs.
  8. Have to look really hard for the improvement. Very small. Almost lockstep to the prior run, impressive consistency
  9. Yup. It’s very likely to be gone next run. Best advice for everyone is don’t do it
  10. What a nuke. Too bad it’s the gfs. It did this with the Friday potential too. Even to an amateur it’s pretty easy to see how thread the needle this is. Couple of small changes and this is right back out to sea. Probably going to see some wild run to run swings. Ultimately, I’d expect very little. Too many moving parts. Good luck getting that to verify
  11. It should make everyone feel warm and fuzzy that the one model getting an appreciable storm here on Sunday is the same model that tried to bury us for Friday only to go a thousand miles out to see in 24 hours time. Its such a low probability, but if it did come back to maybe graze us, its very likely to be and east and more so NE type of deal. I don’t think thats unreasonable
  12. I saw the gfs and it was somewhat interesting, but euro sliding SE makes me think it’s all a dream, per usual
  13. That is pretty funny though. Not even a step down, just gone
  14. You also fail to mention it’s rain for many, or most, at least in eastern areas
  15. Here’s the biggest problem in my view with regards to where we stand and where we’re going. We’re going to be creeping into late Jan with well below average snowfall. Many in the single digits from Boston to Providence and SE (some places on the cape may be better). At this point, you’ll need anomalous positive departures to get to average. People can say “there is still time” and while true, you are increasingly relying on exotic outcomes (like 2013, 2015) to produce that type of snowfall. Again, unless you are banking on that type of thing, if we enter late Jan well below normal, a sub par season is pretty much a lock.
  16. Probably best to close the shades for the next 10 days and hope that maybe the last week of the month can offer something. ”hoping” something changes before then isn’t forecasting. It’s wishing. Look at the models. It’s not even particularly close to anything interesting
  17. It’s been steadfast over the last two days. Just complete garbage
  18. I legit laughed at this. I love the defense of this winter when pictures of a rural access road in far northern Maine has a foot of snow on it. Like wow, I had no idea, I’m totally sold, this winter rules
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