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TauntonBlizzard2013

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Everything posted by TauntonBlizzard2013

  1. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Hard pass on a thread. Storms still 5-6 days away
  2. TauntonBlizzard2013
    12z euro has Rays approval.
  3. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Euro continues to be best case here
  4. TauntonBlizzard2013
    We take
  5. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Ukie sucks here lol, but does look a bit colder
  6. TauntonBlizzard2013
    CMC still a mess, but definitely came in colder than 00z. Decent trends from non icon models so far
  7. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Definitely came in colder than 00z
  8. TauntonBlizzard2013
    That’s a really solid shift SE on that run. You went from rain to NH to now rain confined for SE Mass
  9. TauntonBlizzard2013
    The gfs just produced what we just talked about. That’s how it becomes a good event even here. High retreats slower and the storm is slightly weaker
  10. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Gfs is much colder. Nice hit for most of SNE
  11. TauntonBlizzard2013
    High is pressing a bit more this run. Should make it at least a little cooler to start for most areas
  12. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Any chance we can get that high to lock in a bit more? I feel like that aspect of this is fleeting, and that was our shot down here. 6z euro was probably closest to doing that.
  13. TauntonBlizzard2013
    I have zero expectations here. 12/2 isn’t our game generally. Id say far interior, like out in western MA could do well if the modeling continues to look like this. I wouldn’t expect much inside of 495 if something like the ICON verifies
  14. TauntonBlizzard2013
    The way this system is currently modeled is pretty much on point with the way the last half decade has gone in SNE. If it’s not one thing it’s another. a few days ago this was weak and well SE of the area. So that corrects positively and is no modeled as a stronger, closer storm. However, the high pressure is now retreating at record speed, so the end result is a cold rain for many, outside of CNE.
  15. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Icon looks gross for most of SNE. Cold rain until you get north and west or Worcester
  16. TauntonBlizzard2013
    The 6z euro is probably best case here. Everything else is a mess south of pike
  17. TauntonBlizzard2013
    The cmc is basically just a rainstorm for SNE, briefly starts as snow, but the actual accumulating snow is confined to central and NNE
  18. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Big interior hit. Congrats dendrite
  19. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Gfs is going to be amped
  20. TauntonBlizzard2013
    I think our only shot down here is hoping for some front end scenario. Unless you thread the needle perfectly like 00z, it’s definitely not an all snow event, if there is an event. the problem is, at least to me, the antecedent airmass is marginal, which isn’t super surprising for 12/2
  21. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Looks great If youre dendrite
  22. TauntonBlizzard2013
    As had been mentioned, signal still there for 12/2 12/3, but much more tepid at 12z today. i wouldn’t expect much from that. Need a lot of factors to break right. Temps look marginal
  23. TauntonBlizzard2013
    It’ll probably end as about 10 miles of snow
  24. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Yeah, I think the best advice for most people in SNE is to take a backseat until the new year, and if something pops before that, great. I wouldn’t even give that system early next week a second thought until probably Sunday. A lot can go wrong, it’s early, and it’s still a week away. Odds are we won’t see anything from it, that’s just the way it goes.
  25. TauntonBlizzard2013
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