GFS definitely starting to catch on that it can't ram that surface low up into that cold press as others have been alluding too. It's still not sure what to do earlier in the run...
I know I'm not getting 2' of snow, but I have a hard time believing the NWS forecast for Bristol, RI at the moment... are they just using the GFS? 46 and heavy rain...
Agreed, this is the way many of these storms go. We're smack dab in the legendary snow hole that always shows up, for whatever reason. It's going to be a lot of slop for sure, but thankfully it's just not just rain like previous have been.
I think we'll do better than that in East Bay, RI. 6-12" with sleet mixing would be a safe call. Maybe closer to 6" due to more sleet would be safer for Newport. I don't think this storm has a lot of rain in it for us.