bristolri_wx

@George001, This model debate is a little silly. All the models have some value in forecasting, and the big 4, (Euro, GFS, UKMET, CMC) all have high enough verification scores where they should all be considered when issuing a forecast. Even with the last storm both the GFS and Euro were correct and incorrect in different ways. If you read the NWS AFD’s they always mention using weighted blends of the models to render their forecasts. Ignoring any one model will reduce your ability to accurately predict what’s going on if the others happen to be wrong.

Looks like UKMET/GFS vs Euro/CMC at the moment... If you blend all four of them you get a nice hit for NNE and ice, rain, a few inches snow, and maybe kitchen sink in SNE. Hopefully things trend towards the former rather than the latter...

My entire interest is "don't wash away/melt my snow" lol... anything that's not that is bonus time.

I could be mistaken here, but last few weeks, it looks like models have underestimated the cold whenever there's been an arctic push from the north predicted. Hopefully that cold air pushes south enough to get snow in the forecast for most of the region.

I think for most of us, we do a best guess, and we try to be as close as possible. However, NWS has their own guide how to take accurate measurements that are consistent, so in theory, if you want to report those numbers to the NWS, you should be following their guidelines, whenever possible: https://www.weather.gov/media/coop/Snow_Measurement_Guidelines-2014.pdf

Share the wealth - as long as it doesn't get washed away elsewhere.

Both GFS and Euro look relatively cold and dry after whatever this mess is comes through...

Took a few measurements in my yard last night before coming in, and came up with 21". That seemed to make sense to me, as there were other folks in Bristol and Warren reporting the same after I checked on the NWS site. However, checked the NWS site today and they had removed all the high numbers from Bristol, went with 18" report instead. Seems an inch or two low to me, but in the end it's not a big deal. Swansea, Fall River, and Tiverton were all in the 20's are right nearby and were also in that death band just as long as me. Also had a chance to take a little drive around town - no photos unfortunately. Some awesome scenes down at Colt Sate Park. Lots of fields and open spaces near the water were bare ground, and then suddenly, you would get into spots with 4-6 foot drifts where all that blowing snow had a chance to settle. Cool stuff. Plus my son finally had a big storm to have some fun sledding and attempting to build snow forts and piles with this rather fluffy stuff. A great storm overall, even if it wasn't historic as we wanted it to be.

Congrats! I had a good feeling about this one for you, though no clue it would be a record breaker. This arctic air mass made the difference.

Not often that my neighborhood leads the state in snow, but after clearing the driveway, I believe it. Definitely in the 20-24” range here.

It wasn’t terrible in Cumberland. They were in the death band for a little while and my friend says there’s 12-16” on the ground. Lots of drifting there too.

Back to light snow here.

I see the City of Newport is doing a great job plowing lol!

Moderate snow here now. The edge of that band is weakening down here. Can't complain we were in the middle of it for 4 hours...

Yeah looks like we have another six hours before it's done. Insane...

I have a Carthart coat that is used specifically for this type of weather. But I guess I can't wear it anymore due to its new status as a political statement lol. Anyway that coat always gets the job done, especially in the slop we usually get here in winter storms.

Just had to get myself to the car and had to shovel through some 3 foot drifts. This stuff is extra fluffy here. Must be high ratio stuff. Still coming down heavy. I don't think I've ever seen a band sit over RI like that...

LOL don't you own a real winter coat? I love LL Bean but even I didn't go out in just flannel!

Route 24 must be a total mess its been under a band for at least 5 hours...

Puking snow near white out here at the moment. Heaviest so far.

If Corey staying in LA got the death band into RI, then taking a nap might get it done for you.

To say the alignment of this band over eastern RI is rare would be an understatement…

Because BOX was confusing me with two different maps with the same time stamp.