bristolri_wx

Summary of New England January 2025 thread so far… my lord…

1/2” in the AM then melting and 3/4” in the PM but mostly melted now. Just a few patches left.

I occasionally see posts mention fantasy baseball. Is there an AWX NE league? If not, should there be, would there be interest?

Definitely frustrating. However, cold in the absence of snow is preferred versus warmth in the absence of snow. If cold is around, then the chance or receiving snow is higher, it’s just a matter of track. Days like yesterday don’t happen with warmth. Obviously I’m in the minority here but I would rather have the cold and dry with surprises when a dry shortwave moves through than days or weeks of clouds, drizzle, and fog as like it’s April in the middle of January. Until we get out of this more generalized high velocity shredding systems pattern I’ll take the cold in January and February to increase the likelihood of seeing snow. By March that’s a different story and expectation…

Snowing nicely here. Only about 3/4” on the ground though …

So long Mayo…

In other great January news Bills tank things perfectly and the Pats lose #1 pick…

Enjoy the view after catching up..

Yes he picked a temp chart that looks worse than it actually is. There would definitely be risk of some mixing in the coastal plain but that’s not unusual. 925 and 850 are still pretty cold as well.

Jeez, if this forum existed during the 1980's winters, most of the posters would not have made it through to adulthood thanks to an outbreak of toaster baths. Let's mourn a terrible winter on March 21th rather than on January 3rd.

Unlike Tom Petty, models have backed down on the wind gusts. 925 mb charts looks like 35-45 MPH gusts for most.

75 pages of posts about January before we end December… Impressive! Hey, if it’s cold, we will have chances. Still better than overcast and 40’s.

Be thankful that Christmas Eve And Christmas Day should be relatively cold with some snowy patches on the ground. Better than the last several years. Some flurries or a coating will be nice. Better than 60 and heavy rain!

HC - Hair Cutter CC - Coors Cutter WC - Wrist Cutter

Totally depends on the pattern. A couple of years ago RI had the worst of the drought compared to others. But yes Stein has totally vacated the premises here…

When the south wind howls My face turns to scowl I look for the snow And yell “where did you go” A normal winter day Living near Narragansett Bay Inland areas, enjoy. Looks like there could be some positive surprises…

I feel like at least part of this is the normal modulation of the seasonal weather pattern. It was quite warm and above normal in most of November, so you would expect that even a below normal setup we have now will moderate back to above for a period as we continue to gradually step down into climo. As long as nothing outrageous is going on to the north of us we should be okay as we get deeper into December.

I call the CFS and raise you a GEFS.

If people want to see snow, turn on NBC. A couple of feet at Orchard Park.

Next time say the pattern is “ruff”. Which is also the way Trebek’s mother like it.

I’m not really caring about clown maps but I am caring about this: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs-ens&region=namer&pkg=T850a&runtime=2024112806&fh=6 Look at Canada. That’s 384 hours of ensemble showing mostly below normal or normal temp anomalies at 850. Yes the Pacific drives the bus, but Canada provides the passengers. The last two winters there has not been a consistent normal to below normal cold source region in Canada to help us with the precip down here. I can count on least 5 or 6 storms discussed here where we saw favorable setups near the bench mark and ended up with slop and rain instead of snow due to thermals. We would see weeks of +10 anomolies NW of us. It only takes one or two degrees of thermal difference to go from boom to bust for snow accumulations in New England. Getting Canada colder means more chances for us. While this could all end up dry and boring, it is very encouraging. More so than the last couple of seasons and in December, which have been ratters in recent memory for most in SNE. I would expect you would be able to see these differences as well. Happy Thanksgiving and let’s all be thankful for some potential to cash in after the last couple of seasons of mostly boredom.

All the high dewpoints he roots for all summer has caused black brain mold. He’s just not himself. He’s been Torch-ed!

This isn’t a a criticism by any means, though it come off as one in written form, but just an observation: It seems like a lot of the discussion posts had stricter moderation in the past, and a lot of what stays now used to be moved into the banter forums. It also doesn’t help that we have had a number of shitty winters since the jackpot of 2014-2015. It’s hard to get good moderators these days that have the time to keep the threads organized. There’s a lot of good content here. Just ignore or block the trolling. Don’t think I could give up this place either.