bristolri_wx

It's okay to be disappointed, and put it down in words here. It's the tone that matters. I feel bad that the storm was not as prolific for others as it could have been. That being said, there's always winners and losers in these big storms. It's rare that everyone wins because what produces the snow on the north west side of these storms is banding, and it's almost impossible to have bands that cover our entire region to make everyone a winner. It truly is like going to the casino - only a few are going to jackpot. Usually for my area to win, somewhere else has just cashed in their last snow chip without a good return. At the end of the day, it's just weather, and we aren't in control of it. It's nice we see all four seasons in New England. I can't imagine, even when I get a 20" winter, living somewhere where you don't get the variety of weather you get here.

Clearly you have angered the snow gods with your accordion playing debauchery and they have blown your snow to the far ends of Manville and Albion. You must sacrifice a virgin Victoria and repent to please the gods and fill in your snow hole.

This may make it number 1 all time. I believe 1978 was around 27.

If you don't end up at around 24" then it's only because you don't have a good spot to measure. Your location wasn't in the middle of the death band but you have several consecutive hours of 30 dbz stuff on radar, and some parts of the heavy band made it your way. I've got two personal reports of around 2 feet in Cumberland area from friends. Plus we have the reports from Attelboro, and I have a friend in Smithfield reporting two feet to the west of you. There was no prolific snow hole over your house. Even if we knock a few inches off due to drifting, there's a good chance that this number verifies. It's seriously time to relax now and enjoy what you got. We already have enough things giving RI a bad name, and your whining on this thread is insufferable. You don't know how many times I've had friends in the northern and western parts of the state with significantly more snow than my own backyard. There's 50,000 people with no power in the state, that may not get it back for a couple of days, and you're complaining you didn't get 40" on top of your fake fucking mountain. Seriously, get a hold of yourself, and at least melt with some world championship worthy dignity.

This guy has a message for you...

G19_sector_ne_GEOCOLOR_240fr_20260223-1120.mp4

CODNEXLAB-NEXRAD-BOX-N0B-20260223-1619-200-100.mp4

Totally astounded by the crush job here. Can’t even look outside to see what’s going on. It’s a movie-like. Probably a 50 year or 100 year storm for RI. Usually those 35-40 dbz bands don’t stick around for this long. Thankfully power is still on, though half the town is out. Officially changing my handle to 39/70 Benchmark after this one…

It's insanity here. Greatful I still have power at the moment. 3K seems to have been with projecting heavy band locations - agreed.

I don't have a level of expertise to explain it. Not sure it can initialize wrong for 8 hours straight. Maybe just a level of physics that's outside of the models understanding is occurring causing everything to be deflected southeast. It's something I would expect more from a global that a high resolution meso model.

G19_sector_ne_EXTENT3_72fr_20260223-0656.mp4

Not sure what the hell is wrong with the HRRR, but it's been wrong since 10PM last night with the placement of the heaviest bands. Total failure in terms of short term prediction of wtf is going on outside. In this case 40-50 miles is making a huge difference.

Don’t think I’ve seen radar like this over my house/area in any recent storm.

It’s crazy out here right now.

CODNEXLAB-NEXRAD-OKX-DSP-20260223-0811-96-100.mp4

CODNEXLAB-NEXRAD-BOX-DSP-20260223-0809-96-100.mp4

3K mostly agrees...

Damn straight. I have like 10 tabs open. BOX, OKZ, Regional Mosaic, Sub-Regional Mosaic, and the SPC Hourly Mesoscale Analysis map of 850 - 700 frontogenesis. But still looking at models too, with 15 hours to go on this storm.

That being said - the NBM showed 30" right before go time. If that doesn't come close to fruition, NOAA/NWS really needs to take a look at what inputs it's using for snowfall. It's supposed to be one of the primary tools they use for issuing forecasts, from what I've read.

Yeah I realized this after I posted. Need the 7z version, which ain't out yet.

Not sure where this data is coming from, but the 1AM NBM continues to say game on.

I would caution anyone to follow the HRRR guidance verbatim at the moment. For the last four hourly runs, it's had issues with it's simulated radar returns, and I think that affects the other output. It's consistently keeping banding farther south than it actually is. It fixes it each run at hour 1 on each run, then regresses at hour 2 forward. Again, can't deny that there might be some cutbacks, or a more ENE movement, but the HRRR is having some difficulty handling this storm so far.