bristolri_wx

https://www.youtube.com/@riretroweather/streams I grabbed the project linked to by @dendrite and run a 24x7 stream on YouTube for Bristol as the location from an old junky computer...

Always notable when New Bedford is 10 degrees colder than Newport... Calm wind means extra cold this evening...

Forecast: Verification: Grade B+ Biggest miss was Cape Ann area, where OES never materialized. Using a blend of the 3K NAM and HRRR as a smart idea, as HRRR was a little low for eastern areas and the 3K NAM was a little high. Forecast was accurate but would like to make a map farther out, maybe 24 hours, for the next one, as more of a challenge. This one was issued 3 hours before start time in CT...

The Mt. Bristol stake reads… (drumroll) 4” Cloudy with flurries here now. 22.

CODNEXLAB-GOES-East-subregional-New_England-comp_radar-09_35Z-20251227_map_noBar-100-1n-10-100.mp4 CODNEXLAB-NEXRAD-BOX-N0B-20251227-0944-200-100.mp4

CODNEXLAB-GOES-East-subregional-New_England-comp_radar-03_15Z-20251227_map_noBar-100-1n-10-100.mp4

Red Alert! Screen Recording 2025-12-26 at 9.50.51 PM.mp4

Would love to be bullish for eastern areas but the NAM and the HRRR are not in sync east of the CT/RI border...

Started at 9:30 here, ground is coated already. Radar shows best echoes of band just missing me to the south, we will see how the rest plays out.

Would love to see NWS snow reports with these measurements listed.

The official Mt. Bristol elevation 15’ ASL measuring pole is ready for action.

Haven't made a map in a while. Also testing a web app I created using ChatGPT to build snowfall forecast maps in a web browser.

NAM 3K looks similar in coverage but less snow overall.

Compared to 12z looks farther north and east with heavier snow, but only at hour 12 on pivotal.

That wasn't the original question you asked - you asked why do we care what BOX says/does. Others have moved the goal posts to them being "official" forecast. I didn't make such a claim in my post. By the way, ask your home insurance company who "officially" issues tropical storm and hurricane forecasts that affect your deductable if you need to make a claim... it ain't anyone on this forum or Jim Cantore...

Just because you don't fall in those categories don't mean there aren't others out there that do. The general public consume weather forecasts in many different ways than we do here on this forum. I haven't found their forecasts overly bullish recently, but I would defer to you since you do this for a living and probably compare notes with what BOX is posting...

Others have chimed in already, but the reason why I defer to BOX for forecasts and warnings: They do this for a living, are trained, and focus their entire workday on generating forecasts. They have access to forecasting tools and data that most of us do not. They have experience with our climatology and know how to apply that to model generated forecasts that may get overlooked. They aren't generating forecasts with the requirement to generate ratings, page views, clicks, or advertising revenue. Just my opinion... They provide a valuable service to us, even those of us who have the interest in making our own forecasts. I don't mind the more conservative approach to their forecasting compared to what you get everywhere else these days. Some irony there...

"Straight Outta Toland, crazy mutha-f^&ka named Kevin. When the weather brings damage he's in heaven." EDIT: @CoastalWx beat me to it and was much better.

Euro looks to be north east as well through 30...

Clear trend NBM trending north and east with heaviest snow band every 6 hours on the last 4 runs...