bristolri_wx

Too bad remnants aren’t forecasted to make it here. Would have probably been the final mail in the coffin on the drought in Southern New England. Lots of areas still in moderate on Drought Monitor despite all the rain we have gotten this past month…

HRRR looks interesting for RI and SE MA a little later tonight from that activity entering CT now. NAM doesn't have it, but it also missed it on initialization. Doesn't look like much though, maybe some rumbles of thunder and downpours.

Sachusest Beach in Middletown was packed with surfers on my way home from work. Wish I had a chance to take a pic.

Also looks like storm slows down a little as it does it's extra-tropical transition over Nova Scotia. Seems like it lingers there spinning for a day or so before it regains forward speed...

Could still be a panhandle storm. GFS is still in that area on op and ensembles. Both Euro and GFS are east last few days. I believe a couple of posters said no to the Yucatán when brought up but it may have been jokingly…

Wowza.

No one is claiming lager isn't real beer. People are claiming that Coors Light is not real beer. I fully support this claim. You drink it when you have to, just like Miller Lite or Bud Light. But I don't think most people who enjoy beer choose it by choice... There are other good lager beers out there!

That second line looks juicy for RI and SE MA on the 12z HRRR.

Looks like most of RI missing out on the good stuff in first batch. Hopefully we get hit with the second one! Enjoy round one MA, NH, and ME!

Obviously taken with a grain of salt verbatim, but the HMON, HWRF, and GFS 12z runs on Fiona all have it sub 930 during it's extra-tropical transition. HWRF has it 916Mb at HR 84. Most likely not happening, but there is model consensus of this kind of "blowing up" right before it hits the maritimes as it starts its extra-tropical transition. It's in the 940's though most of it's journey through the North Atlantic...

The line made it here in a weakened state. Some nice downpours at the moment. Better than nothing as we gradually move our way out of this drought.

Is this line going to hold up heading into RI?

Fiona not affecting us except for some waves, but still fun to track when you see this type of weenie model output:

Hmm, the post I replied to seems to have disappeared...

Unfortunately 2014-2015 does not show up anywhere on your chart

Not much else going on… was at least a topic of interest given the general area of development/track. Understandable to not jump on board.

According to the 18z Euro, most likely. According to 18z GFS, probably. 18z Euro really has Fiona cranking now, 947mb at HR 90 and farther NE, than 12z, which was 973mb, thanks to the center missing Hispaniola. If it strengthens that much, then yup it's definitely fish food. Still feel like it's interesting to track though next few days. Euro could be off on strengthening and track...

Ha! Love how I'm getting weenied for a post that ended with "Wouldn't be something to get my hopes up for". Bring it on Oscar Meyer...

18Z GFS is a pinch west to start and then a bit farther west by the time it gets up to the Canadian Maritimes. Not enough to influence NE... biggest notable difference is there's a much bigger ridge over the Midwest than the previous run, and that causes the trough cutting through the New England to have a much more positive tilt in a SW -> NE orientation. If that continues to be the trend, then Fiona's track might continue to edge west, and that trough has a chance of sucking Fiona in closer to the coast. Wouldn't be something to get my hopes up for could be an 18z blip too...

I’m in the “interested because it’s in the right area, but wouldn’t post about it on social media because it doesn’t look good and it would give people the wrong impression” camp. Modeling isn’t looking favorable on this one as it moves west… not surprising… but still worth a periodic check in through Sunday. Fiona is down 28-3 at the half…

Yeah RI at any time of the year isn’t a favorable area for radiational cooling. not surprising.

Regardless of where that thing goes after the 72 hour window, it’s at least putting it in a location that’s historically favorable to make an approach if conditions are right…

Only one person said cold - who was questioned throughly about inebriation levels. I think the rest referred to the period as below normal, which was true for inland areas.