bristolri_wx

This was interesting... https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/winter-season-2022-2023-forecast-october-update-united-states-canada-europe-fa/

So who is good IYO? It was a question geared towards anyone who wanted to answer... and we know the answer is not "Joe Bastardi" lol...

Just him? I see others discussed but sometimes it’s by initials or partial names. Just curious…

Sooooo… how about them cold temps this morning?

Who are the recommended forecasters to follow outside of this forum for long range/winter forecasts?

You must not come here often...

The 0z 840 HR GEFS looks a lot better than the CFS weeklies in the mid-to-late November time frame. The CFS looked a lot better last week. (Going by what's available on Tropical Tidbits). Interesting to see the differences between the two...

Neat! I found this to be notable as well: "The upgrades in the data assimilation system are accomplished by improving the use of existing observations, adding newly available observations, enhancing Near Sea Surface temperature (NSST) analysis, and bug fixes." One of the data assimilation items on there was increased input of high latitude wind data from satellites. Wonder if that might help with the winter storm forecasts with those waves that roll out of northwest Canada that we are always waiting to be "sampled"...

These are fantastic!

Didn't realize the title of this thread changed to "COVID OBS/DISC"... Guess I'm going to AmericanMedicine.com for the weather discussions there.

Noticed on Tropical Tidbits an alert about ECMWF super computer upgrades. Found this interesting article: https://www.ecmwf.int/en/about/media-centre/news/2022/taking-ecmwfs-new-high-performance-computing-facility-operation Looks like software/model upgrades to follow the hardware upgrades being done now.

You should! It's quite easy to self-publish these days - especially if you're not looking to make a living at it.

With that storm coming up the coast, Sunday evening definitely looks like an oxford shirt with slacks kind of day. Might even go to bed early so I can get my eight hours of sleep. . . . . . (Definitely wanted to work slacks into the conversation and stay on topic, though I'm not sure what the topic is at this point.)

I will assume all the costs involved with that person being an employee of Beasley. So payroll taxes, benefits, etc. Anything the company would have paid as their share of hiring an employee full time. They are being d#$cks about it, and saying we are not footing 1 cent of the bill for this person to remain on the payroll. A literal "you want him, you pay for him!"

Obviously, we're only hearing the T&R side of things, but to be honest, this sounds like a shot across the bow on whenever their next contract negotiation comes up. Even though they are the highest billing show based on revenue in the cluster, they decided to cut a staffer from their morning show and not the other morning shows. Either that or they are insanely stupid - in the modern era of podcasting T&R could easily take their show off the radio and still make money, and Beasley would probably not have anything good to replace the revenue that would leave with them. So glad I didn't go into that industry as a career. Was a Comm major in college and was working part-time in radio in Providence as well and decided to get out of it right when they first started to consolidate in the late 90's. The entire industry is full of financed debt from all the big consolidations of the last 25 years, and its sucking the personality out of the industry/medium. JMTC...

Yeah Jones definitely has the job when he comes back. Two good wins in a row for the Pats, but good defense, good special teams, and conservative offense are more than enough to beat the Lions and the Browns. Jones would have most likely beat them as well. Zappe has played well but they were lucky to get two terrible teams to run “rookie” level offense with and come out on top.

Thanks! Was snooping around that site but that second link was the one I was looking for!

At this point we just need a Stein thread to track his movements and social media posts...

Gotta love the map, with no blog post or even thread comments to explain his thoughts as to why he believes there will be below average temps and above average snow.

I know this question has been asked before, but where does one get the maps or generate the maps that are used for multi-month and multi-year analogs that I see posted here often? Just curious to play around with them when free time allows... fascinating stuff...

Were there really models spitting out that much QPF yesterday? I thought I saw mostly 1-3" amounts on the models except for a couple of bullseyes in NH and ME higher elevations. Then again I only checked a couple of times yesterday in the morning and early afternoon before primary precip moved in...

Just got a flood watch notification. Looking at radar I can see why...

Feels like Christmas Eve out there tonight! Dog is grumpy, no walk tonight. Been moderate to heavy rain here for a couple of hours now. Radar and models look quite wet.

Euro, NAM, HRRR locked in. Just have to get the Commodore 64 on board...