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bristolri_wx

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Everything posted by bristolri_wx

  1. bristolri_wx
    Love these fronts that kick through and the wind starts gusting as the CAA moves in. Such a big part of autumn and winter in New England.
  2. bristolri_wx
    Terrible… That’s YouTube monetization for you. I could make a good amount of money too posting the NAM for every snow threat. Model maps without context are the CNN/Fox News of weather forecasting.
  3. bristolri_wx
    Happy Thanksgiving everyone! Enjoy the turkey, beer, football, and climo weather!
  4. bristolri_wx
    What are you talking about??? At the time it was predicted temp anomalies were +20 and models (and some posters) were hesitant to break the pattern. The last 10 days we’ve gone from +20 to normal/slightly below. What part of the pattern change did you not see occur. For those that enjoy winter, seeing things return to climo is a good thing, even if it doesn’t result in violent blizzards before Thanksgiving.
  5. bristolri_wx
    Thanks for posting this!!! Hopefully your post has the same results as Stein posting 384 QPF maps a few months back. Pretty sure it didn’t rain for 6 months on those 384 hr runs. Have a Happy Thanksgiving, be sure not to torch your turkey!
  6. bristolri_wx
  7. bristolri_wx
    My non scientific gut feeling is that the below normal cold hangs around a little longer. I think we are seeing the usual model waffling around a major pattern change that is afoot…
  8. bristolri_wx
    Did she have nice blooms?
  9. bristolri_wx
    Excellent job Ray! Was waiting for the release, and you definitely delivered. This is definitely one of those "read it a few times to take it all in" articles. I await my 27"-36" of snow (I always knock off 10% of whatever is predicted for PVD). Thanks for providing this to us, it was quite educational.
  10. bristolri_wx
    Of course. Short days and low sun angle enhance the dark web this time of year!
  11. bristolri_wx
    Blood of Christ. Plenty of it.
  12. bristolri_wx
    I’ve been recently taken an interest in the 00z 840 HR GEFS ensemble runs that are available on TT. They are usually a day behind to complete. IMO, not as good as the Euro weeklies but better than the CFS weeklies. They might have even been more into this cold anomaly setup earlier than the others. Most of the output can be separated into 5 day intervals. Not sure how others (especially mets) feel about it…
  13. bristolri_wx
  14. bristolri_wx
    Funny I thought of two siblings picking on each other at home - “Mom!! Nicole is being a dick!”
  15. bristolri_wx
    Yup, that's some on the NAM. 925 MB winds look aggressive for coastal plain.
  16. bristolri_wx
    Finally feels like October out there... refreshing...
  17. bristolri_wx
    It’s those November tropical downpours we are used to seeing here in New England lol…
  18. bristolri_wx
    Even though he’s full of it these days, Joe Bastardi did have a good tagline at the end of his videos when he worked for Accuweather. ”Enjoy the weather, it’s the only weather you‘ve got.”
  19. bristolri_wx
  20. bristolri_wx
    Fact: pets and children do not give-a-shit about daylight savings or standard time.
  21. bristolri_wx
    Euro and GFS look amazingly similar on this one at the moment…
  22. bristolri_wx
    Live from my living room...
  23. bristolri_wx
    I've had to turn on the heat for about 3 hours since Oct 1. Insanity. Always makes you worry that things may balance out in the next few months, just like the drought...
  24. bristolri_wx
    Agreed. It does seem to be a volatile model. It fluctuates from week to week, and I also noticed the changes recently. There must be some sort of value to the model, but it may take some nuance to get the best forecasting value out of it. I know I haven't figured it out yet...
  25. bristolri_wx
    The Panic Room thread usually gets created on Dec 1. LMAO…
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