bristolri_wx

I have an electric one and rarely use it. Since I've purchased it 5 years ago I think I've used it 6 times. Usually it's not enough to bother (I have a small 2 car driveway), or, too wet to use it efficiently. At the same time, no way I'm spending money on a fancy two stage for the two or three sloppy storms per year I might get some use out of it. It's worked fine on the big storms we have had where the snow was 8:1 or higher. I voted no because if there's anywhere that's probably gonna get screwed this year, it's the coastal plain down here near Narragansett Bay, with warm SST's and warm tounge's at 900mb on the NAM.

It's hard to give up on an entire winter in early Jan. I still feel confident that the pattern breaks to something more favorable for winter enthusiasts in late January into February. As many have said, Canada is warm too right now so every storm is a threading the needle situation until that reverses. The ensembles and long term climate models are still pointing to a change in that scenario. Once Canada cools off it's easier to get SWFE events and other storms that develop when the upper air pattern is more favorable. That being said, we may still end up with a below normal winter for snow because of all the missed time, so if that's your definition of a ratter, then it's a high probability it will occur. But overall patience is the key the next couple of weeks...

Totally confused today checking in on threads. There's a small snow storm in the forecast, and med/long range is improving as well. I thought it was gonna be 60 degrees the rest of January with anomalies so high they need to invent new colors on the model maps? /s

The CFS weeklies give a better representation to what causes that map. The above normal temps are front loaded, while the second half is AN but to a much lesser extent. Not sure I see the full value in a monthly map being posted for Jan when there are weeklies from the CFS, GEFS, and EPS available that provide better context for the actual weather.

It's going to be tough for anywhere other than NNE to pickup any snow next two weeks unfortunately. Canada just doesn't have any real cold for us, so it's gonna be the "lucky nickel and dime" stuff next few weeks. Thankfully as others have mentioned mid January into Feb looking good for at least having the right conditions for snow in all of New England. And if you are looking at long term models Feb and March look cold. Hopefully not suppressed. Maybe another back-loaded winter? EDIT: Snow Depth Loop for the same GEFS run - again just showing that we are looking good mid-January forward.

Agreed. I've done the same as well. And to be honest it doesn't have to be super-strict moderation. Directly responding to someone with a meme or a "beer" is fine, IMO, as long as the original post is on topic. But we have 57 pages of January Obs/Discussion on 1/2/23? How is that even possible, without a storm in the forecast. Some self moderation is probably the key going forward...

First - I hope Damar Hamlin is okay. Looks like the game is done for this evening... That being said. Addressing some of the "whining" and such on some of the other threads. I think we just need a return to the moderation we had a few years ago. Right now there's a bunch of discussion going on in the Obs/Discussion thread that should be in banter. The "panic" can be in banter too. I can remember seeing stuff moved in the past, perhaps that's all that's needed to get the Obs/Discussion thread more focused again. The "whining" used to be done in banter. Now banter seems to be treated as an off-topic thread, when it doesn't have to be. Look in Obs/Discussion now, there's a post about a boulder falling on the highway, and discussion about Hamlin there as well. Just my two cents. I fully acknowledge that it's easier said than done, and moderation can be a pain since it's volunteer based...

Yup. Whole household has been dealing with waves of colds/viruses for couple of months. We have been all sick since after Christmas. Worst cold/flu season in a long time.

Personally, it's nice to have it cold around the holidays, even if it isn't snowy. However, once New Year's passes, as much as I enjoy the interesting weather, if it's torching so-be-it. I'm sure I'm in the minority...

You all should be disappointed. Last years panic room opened on December 2. What a bunch of lame weenies letting 26 days of winter passing before starting to panic. What has happened to this forum???

Yeah I was scratching my head reading that and wondering if I was confused, lol…

May not look like Christmas, but it damn sure feels like it outside. Merry Christmas everyone!!

Winds noticeably picking up here. Not a fan of this particular output for the morning...

I would defer to the hi-res models to see if a snow squall line actually makes it through. Earlier this morning, only the RGEM showed it, all the US hi-res models (NAM 3K, HRRR, FV3) showed a squall line that was rain-only except for the highest elevations up north.

We are 67 pages in for a storm with not much (if any) snow for us but from a purely interesting weather perspective this has been an entertaining one to track and discuss. Maybe we get a Christmas miracle inch on the back side as that hell of a cold front comes through. Not often that Arctic air moves into our area from the southwest so there might still be some surprises at the end of this storm. High gusts still on the table in the coastal plain as well. Stay tuned!!

Wow, those 925mb maps on Pivotal look a little crazy. No guarantee that 925 winds mix down to the surface, but I'm looking at almost 36 hrs of 50kt+ winds at my location so lots of opportunities for high gusts. EDIT: The wind gust maps on weather.us are not encouraging either. What a mess...

Look at the temps at the same frame. 10 degrees in Nashville while it's 60 in Providence. Still not to far away from a solution where we might get an inch or two as the front comes through. Just need that squall line to hold up. Christmas Eve and Christmas Day look COLD.

First time in weeks I had some time to watch the Pats - caught last five minutes. Terrible.

That little tropical low has been there last few runs lol…

I dunno, not sure what the problem is. We are still going to be getting impactful weather from a powerful storm during the timeframe mentioned. Just not a big snow storm for most. This thread served a purpose, discussion of one developing storm.

OEM tires are usually garbage. Treadlife is usually 45k to get them through a three year lease. I highly recommend these: https://www.michelinman.com/auto/tires/michelin-defender-ltx-m-s Have these on my CR-V and RAV4. Good all season tire especially for winter and long tread life as long as you rotate regularly.

Yeah that could blow at some point. More likely at high speeds or in warmer weather. You should replace that tire ASAP IMO for you and your vehicles safety.