bristolri_wx

Feeling like it’s going to be a cool dry month south of the pike with not much snow. Still a better winter than last year. At least felt like winter for long stretches even if there wasn’t much snow.

I’m impressed it stayed below 40 for so long today down here. The hi-res hourly models keep revising the temp rise, and at one point 50 was predicted this far up the bay but no longer. Surprised I still have an inch of slop on the ground that’s going to freeze up tonight.

Ended up being about 3” here by the time I got outside. I’m sure if I was measuring the official way it was probably 4” before compaction. Quite heavy and sticky to shovel.

A storm so strong it changed the map of the coastline!

I look forward to a revolution of common sense in your AWX posts in the future!

BOX 9:20 Discussion:

Snowing now in Bristol as well, down to 32.

Still rain here in Bristol. Down to 35.

And your point? My point is that BOX hasn’t lowered expected accumulations for areas that it really hasn’t started yet despite mediocre model output most of the day. Not sure what the 7PM time has to do with that… hence “holding the line”.

BOX holding the line…

If it makes you feel any better the temps dropped from 46 to 41 as soon as it started raining moderately here. I don’t think it will take much to get temps down to freezing after 5 pm if precip picks up. 3-6 in the coastal playin is still likely IMO…

24 hour map vs 12 hour map. Look at timeframe top left.

Updated BOX map

Maybe I’ll be surprised and that 3-4” line moves 25 miles southeast. The poetic snow map rule: “You’re better off in Maine, When the snow forecast shows rain, In the Coastal Plain.” LOL

A lot of winter weather can happen in 3.5 weeks.

Summary of New England January 2025 thread so far… my lord…

1/2” in the AM then melting and 3/4” in the PM but mostly melted now. Just a few patches left.

I occasionally see posts mention fantasy baseball. Is there an AWX NE league? If not, should there be, would there be interest?

Definitely frustrating. However, cold in the absence of snow is preferred versus warmth in the absence of snow. If cold is around, then the chance or receiving snow is higher, it’s just a matter of track. Days like yesterday don’t happen with warmth. Obviously I’m in the minority here but I would rather have the cold and dry with surprises when a dry shortwave moves through than days or weeks of clouds, drizzle, and fog as like it’s April in the middle of January. Until we get out of this more generalized high velocity shredding systems pattern I’ll take the cold in January and February to increase the likelihood of seeing snow. By March that’s a different story and expectation…

Snowing nicely here. Only about 3/4” on the ground though …

So long Mayo…