Their discussion for our area below,
Virginia through central and eastern Pennsylvania and New
Jersey...
Have expanded the SLGT risk farther north into this region. Areas of
rain and thunderstorms will likely be ongoing north of a warm front
from PA and NJ into southern New England. This activity will shift
northeast during the morning allowing modest destabilization to
occur in the pre-frontal warm sector with MLCAPE from 400-800 J/kg.
Storms are expected to redevelop along cold front and in association
with deeper forcing accompanying the northeast-ejecting shortwave
trough. Wind profiles with 50+ kt effective bulk shear along with
large 0-1 km hodographs will promote a threat for organized storms
including supercells capable of damaging wind and a couple of
tornadoes.