hudsonvalley21
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Everything posted by hudsonvalley21
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Early evening, and not so much the models, it will be location of the low and development.
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And with the sharp cutoff of precipitation, a 25-50 mile wiggle will make a huge difference. Models are used for guidance, with a complex system such as this one, anything goes.
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Agree, just a waiting game now and watch the surface pressure drops.
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January 28/29 Blizzard Observations/Discussion/Nowcasting
hudsonvalley21 replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
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It looks like the southern area of circulation is taking over
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So sorry for you and your families loss. Hopefully this storm could bring a smile in a sad time and maybe his spirt is helping this storm shift westward for you.
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Well now sit back and enjoy a steak.
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Just has to close off a few hours sooner
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+1 for the low here.
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It’s time and money to be prepared, but you can’t get caught with your pants down.
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Could go down to nowcast time and looking at the HRRR.
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That would be one bumpy flight if it does get in the air on time.
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Absolutely
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Emotions definitely. A lot of folks got sucked in by the the euro days ago. This has been a thread the needle type event and you might not have model consensus until 12z Friday. Placement of 50-100 miles and a sharp precipitation cutoff is huge here for winners and losers. Still anyones game.
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Maybe some dropsondes readings are in this run?
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Many moving parts,many outcomes. Maybe by 12z Thursday or 00z Friday when all the parts have been on the playing field. It’s Still a coin toss.
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Hopefully the 12z runs tomorrow will have a good consensus either good or bad.
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It was nice looking at the porn snow maps the last couple of days. I would wait till the 12z runs tomorrow. Too hopefully get a good idea with a few runs with the sampling’s inputted.
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