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hudsonvalley21

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Everything posted by hudsonvalley21

  1. hudsonvalley21
    12z NAM has bumped up QPF totals around the NYC area vs. the 06 runs.
  2. hudsonvalley21
    We’ll see how it evolves. If it is looking like a major event then they will be mentioning it Saturday night and Sunday during the first event right?
  3. hudsonvalley21
    I know they are all focused on the first event and in this thread also. But another issue is the total QPF forecasted for the next week is concerning for the flooding potential from both events. They haven’t really touched base on that on the tv stations.
  4. hudsonvalley21
    Good move.
  5. hudsonvalley21
    A good amount of QPF for the 2nd event from WPC’s thoughts.
  6. hudsonvalley21
    Definitely has my attention especially up this way. The flooding/power loss potential I hope doesn’t come to fruition. After the first system comes thru will see what the models show for the 2nd one. Who knows, we could get a good front end thump of snow with #2. That could help with some rain absorption with this weekends snow.
  7. hudsonvalley21
    With the QPF amounts we’ve had for the last month plus vegetation dormant, everything is totally saturated. What would help would be the ground surface to freeze. That would help some but be worse for the folks living near the waterways. Definitely a tough time for many.
  8. hudsonvalley21
    The QPF for the 2nd event is around 1”-2”. Hopefully we won’t have many issues. Fingers crossed.
  9. hudsonvalley21
    Thank you Rodger for all the time and diligence you put into this contest. It is greatly appreciated.
  10. hudsonvalley21
    I think the flooding potential might be more impactful vs.the snowfall. Especially if we get a good amount of QPF from both events. Happy New Years to all.
  11. hudsonvalley21
    And as Walt Drag just mentioned, there is another system on its heels to contend with.
  12. hudsonvalley21
    Talking about a different 50. 50 miles of a shift in any direction would make a huge difference in what this run shows. I hate being in the bullseye this far out. That 50 50 low is key.
  13. hudsonvalley21
    Agree with you. The aftermath from these events could be equally as bad as the duration of the events. Sand, salt, sump pumps, and chainsaws may be needed. Especially if we get some snowpaste and winds. Being prepared is key. The 18z GFS is showing a 24 hour event for the Sunday show.
  14. hudsonvalley21
    Not a good situation at all. With the runoff still going on and the next events on the horizon possibly being wintery, the roads will be hazardous in spots for some time.
  15. hudsonvalley21
    Thanks Walt, and as you mentioned earlier, the QPF amounts are also critical with the flooding potential.
  16. hudsonvalley21
    I believe the phase would be better if it happens east of the Mississippi River.
  17. hudsonvalley21
    Well the models are all showing activity. Nice to see that agreement this far out. Clown maps are just weather porn for now. Hopefully there isn’t too much of an impact on flooding issues.
  18. hudsonvalley21
    When the systems hit the west coast, there will be better sampling. Wait and see for a couple of days.
  19. hudsonvalley21
    Nice too see if we were only a couple of days out.
  20. hudsonvalley21
    Fire up one thread, maybe Walt Drag will start another.
  21. hudsonvalley21
  22. hudsonvalley21
    And as we know, this will flip flop like a fish out of water run to run.
  23. hudsonvalley21
    Subject to change of course
  24. hudsonvalley21
  25. hudsonvalley21
    Maybe a front end thump before a changeover on the 10th.
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