hudsonvalley21

.88

Good luck with the curling competition

Pure stupidity, some departments should not be messed with. What’s next cutting Air Traffic Controllers? when it comes to public safety all you need is one blip to have a casualty. With Tornado season approaching, could you imagine staffing cuts at SPC?

March BOS +2.3 NYC +2.1 DCA +3.3 ORD +2.9 ATL +3.6 IAH +3.5 DEN +1.8 PHX -0.3 SEA -0.6

Thanks Walt, we’ll see what happens with this time period. The 18z GFS today is showing 2 events in this timeframe. This could be the grand finale for the snow possibility’s this season. Subject to change as always

Must be the upper crust or the greatest G.O.A.T.S.

Steady snow and 19/18 with 0.3” on all surfaces. Current radar is looking like it might continue for a while more, maybe we could get an inch up here in Orange County. Upton’s AFD NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/... As an upper low passes just south and an associated weak sfc trough moves through, snow showers have begun to overspread from west to east across NYC, NE NJ, western Long Island and the lower Hudson Valley. Forecast continues to carry likely PoP for those areas, and also have chance PoP into parts of southern CT mainly over Fairfield County and toward the coast. QPF remains light, less than 1/10 inch in general, and corresponding snowfall amounts should largely remain from a coating to around a half inch. Can`t rule out an isolated 1 inch total in the higher elevations north/west of NYC and across parts of western Long Island where forcing with the upper level low will be stronger. Some minor travel impacts and slick spots are possible this evening. Still, some locales may not see any snow whatsoever, or just a few flurries, largely staying mainly dry and overcast instead, especially into interior southern CT. Clouds thin out regardless overnight as the upper low shifts offshore and drier air works in. NW flow increases tonight as the pressure gradient tightens between the offshore low and the strong inland high, which should preclude decoupling. Low temps range from the mid teens inland, to either side of 20 in NYC and along the coast, with wind chills in the single digits most places, and as low as 0 in spots well inland.

At this time be happy there’s an event possible and there’s plenty of time to see who gets what and when. Let’s get this first event thru here and see what things look like Monday for Thursday then.

There were a bunch of western solutions that Tip just posted in the NE Forum.

Agree, the model runs have been flip flopping for the last couple of weeks. I think everyone is gun shy and not very confident on pulling the trigger. You would think that one of these runs would hone in and hold firm for 5-7 days out. What ever we get would definitely add needed help to the reservoirs.

Would that be from the 00z run?

Thanks for the heads up Walt. Then we go cold Sunday night with the cold front that comes thru keeping the frozen accumulations that we have left (especially for us interior folks) for some time and whatever happens around the 20th.

And now it’s 8 days out. It’s seldom this far out that it verifies. Once in a while a dog gets its bone. The million dollar question is when.

All snow here quick dusting on all surfaces. 29/16

Same here, 29/16

Latest snowfall map from Upton.

Amazing

Here’s the latest map from Upton,

Hope you enjoy your dinner and walk. It’s crazy that the GFS runs for the last several days have been pretty consistent with the QPF and snow amounts. What a pattern we are in.

Upton’s snow map for the Saturday/Sunday event.

Same here. Had about 1/2” of snow then 1/4” of ice pellets.

Point n click forecast for MBY in Orange County Saturday A 20 percent chance of snow after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 35. Light and variable wind. Saturday Night Snow before 4am, then snow and sleet. Low around 26. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible. Sunday A 50 percent chance of snow before 11am. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 37.