DTWXRISK

Idiot comment

One of the reasons why we have ENSEMBLES Is to check the validity of the operational or deterministic models. In this case the operational 12z GFS is completely flat with only a little bit of precip in Southeast Virginia on the 12Z run. But as I'm sure you have all seen by now the 12ZGFS ensemble looks exactly like 0z and 6z European runs.... This should be a big clue for everybody that the operational GFS for whatever reason is still completely clueless when it comes to this system on Monday. The differences between the 12z GEFS and the operational GFS is simply staggering at 48 hours before the event.

from DC ARLINGton perspective I see what you mean -- best stuff may stay south of you

0Z EPS this is an INCREASE ins snow amounts on the eps when compared to the last few runs

0Z OP EURO

18z EPS did NOT cave DO NOT AGREE

JUST IN CASE YOU DID NOT NOTICE... since the time I left ... Oct /Nov 2016 we have NOT have BIG widespread northeast US snowstorms--- ya know like RDU/ GSO to BOS snowstorm big KU event we have been close a few times DEC 8-10 2017 Jan 3-5 2018 March 6-8 2018 DEC 12-13 2019

No of course not SV is often way too conservative.... ORH 70% chance of 10" 50% of 15" 25% chance of 18"

JUST IN CASE YOU DID NOT NOTICE... since the time I left ... Oct /Nov 2016 we have NOT have BIG widespread northeast US snowstorms--- ya know like RDU/ GSO to BOS snowstorm big KU event we have been close a few times DEC 8-10 2017 Jan 3-5 2018 March 6-8 2018 DEC 12-13 2019

JUST IN CASE YOU DID NOT NOTICE... since the time I left ... Oct /Nov 2016 we have NOT have BIG widespread northeast US snowstorms--- ya know like RDU/ GSO to BOS snowstorm big KU event we have been close a few times DEC 8-10 2017 Jan 3-5 2018 March 6-8 2018 DEC 12-13 2019

18z EPS did NOT cave

who ever said that about 18z euro was wrong sw va will do ok with this little event

18z eps did NOT cave

dont over react yet

VERY POSSIBLE.... the reason why i said if the EURO NAM soundings are correct

yes west boston 100% DIFFERENT

I DONT love the SV graphics that much BUT at least they are realistic and not full of 100% ruyan maue Joe bustardi dog shit snow weenie jerk off as if I am looking at dirty pictures snow maps

no one looks at the EURO or 0 NAM soundings DANGER WILL WEENIE ROBINSON DANGER

JM BSOTON SNOW MAPS from all sources are going to BUST IF ...IF... IF.,.. these sounding are right if Boston at 7- 8 pm sat is 37 dew point 36

0z saturday euro sounding ar 7pm sat has BOST at 37 Td 34... thats NOT snow at 30 hrs Temp is 34 Td is 28 and its about to END

did u see the euro sounding? they in no way support BOS getting 10"

look at differencs between 12Z EURO EPS from 2 different sources

wow.... wxbell snow maps-- joke

nothing for bos