hstorm

34 this morning in Great Falls with moderate frost on the yard.

35 in Great Falls with light frost.

We all believe it from the beginning, we just tell ourselves we don't as a coping mechanism.

"Winter is over" bridge jumping on October 10 has to be a new forum record. Well done!

To be fair, it's been pleasant almost every day for three straight weeks

Was actually fairly pleasant (or not unpleasant) outside early this morning. 72 for the low. Already much less pleasant now . . . 81/76.

It was incredible. Also have never seen rain like that here.

Still pouring in Great Falls. Creek below our house has turned into the Colorado River.

Pouring for the last 30 minutes in Great Falls.

Short but intense here. Quite a few trees down (and no power).

Lots of trees down from the afternoon storm here in Great Falls. Neighbors lost a big oak. Still lots of power outages. Fortunately ours was restored pretty quickly.

Surprised to see our temp at 31 this morning. Colder low than I expected.

(Insert old Elle MacPherson Photo)

I believe in this situation we are supposed to assume there will be two storms and add the highest snow totals from each model.

HRRR, which we know is an excellent model, has been getting a bit more aggressive with some snow for northern MD and with freezing rain to the west this evening (before everything changes over). RAP, which is equally excellent, is generally showing the same. I'm skeptical as is the 3k NAM. 33.0/30 here with some mist.