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Everything posted by Torchageddon
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2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Torchageddon replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I was in thick clouds all day until just before dark when the sun poked through for 30 mins, then I got a regular t-storm with the smallest sized hail briefly by 9pm. This is the 3rd hailer in 2 weeks; wasn't expecting any last night. Quality thunder but only 15 strikes detected. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Torchageddon replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I'm not in the MRGL contour but t-storms are expected later tonight here from TWN hourlies. Temp will be around 8C windchill of 4. Its evokes last April when I had that potent early morning sub-severe storms with the same temps. Two weeks ago today (Apr 9) I had multiple rounds of storms with a supercell that just clipped me - I had 5 mins of large pea to dime-sized hail with 90 strikes in an very short period of time. The skies were amazing all til sunset as another storm brought some more brief hail around 6:30pm; I can't call forth any memory of this happening since living here in Hanover. Will be among the best active days of 2024, just 24 hours after the total solar eclipse! -
I got down to -2.5C/28F this morning, blue skies at least. Thankfully no wind which made it okay unlike the past 4 days of horrible chilly winds! Late last week it would be raining and dark overcast in the mornings and then clear up by mid afternoon seemingly 3 days in a row. First part of April was good but starting early last week wx has been terrible.
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March 2024 General Discussion
Torchageddon replied to HillsdaleMIWeather's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Locally and in Waterloo/Windsor just had their earliest 20C reading in recorded history! Got to 22C in Windsor. I didn't think I'd see Mar 8, 2000 beat for decades even with the warming climate since there is no correlation to first 20C reading on that. It appears to be sunny too, insane!! -
After nothing earlier in the day, I started getting heavy snow at 7pm - within 40 mins I had 2-4 inches caking up everything good. Memorable!
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Summer is also back imby, twn showing 20C! Thurs' low is supposedly going to be 16C, that's fun
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Had the first frost of the season which is insanely late; I don't know if this is the latest I've ever seen but top 2 for certain. Somehow up til now we never went below 2C but overnight it was -1C maybe a tad cooler. My forecast busted too low showing -4C with windchill at -8!! There wasn't even any wind when I went out there lol. The largest shift in my climate is how late the frosts on avg are getting.
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Neat fall day, the winds were coming from the NE so I got all these low clouds coming from Georgian Bay, extreme wind shear was visibly apparent.
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Just about every possible conceivable parameter to make today a rotten one was in place: very windy, rainy, dark, cold at 6C feeling like 3 after the near hot temps we had 5 days ago. Its a classic near the lakes getting this lake effect rain in Oct. 53 mm/2" since the start 4 days ago.
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My low was 18C, that is insanity for Oct 5! Higher than my avg low in the middle of summer. Had a line of storms in the aft with some thunder, the rank trash has arrived
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This last stretch of Sep has been magnificent, 8 days at least of great weather, one day where it was mainly cloudy but no rain. Looking back at my typically awful 7 day for accuracy, it did very well correctly predicting most of this week within a few degrees. Remarkably stable pattern my highs and lows (around 9C-10C every day) are the same in a transitional period with this climo. One of the best last 3rd of Sep ever.
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This has been an impressive streak of great wx for Sep standards, mainly sunny for 6-7 days straight and pleasant temps. Its now been a full year since the blocking patterns started giving long streaks of crap or fantastic conditions. We had a wretched 6 days of overcast I think in late Aug, now the inverse but I'm fortunate that the cloud shield of Ophelia remained east in Niagara/Toronto this weekend. I liked this Sep better than Aug.
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It was torrid at 1030am when I went out, but then in the early aft it was actually nice (sun still out). There was a increase in winds I guess. Storms just 45 mins away to my SW.
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I was still at 24C at 12:30 am with a humidex of 32! Did not expect these kind of numbers this late, probably one of the most humid Sep nights recorded. Driving after dark I saw a massive opossum on a rural road right in the center.
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9am obs had 100% RH, 21C/20C. Hourlies have me at peak temp by 11am nearly 31C/ Humidex 41.
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Amazing day, a relief after the drab last 3 or more weeks. I was out quite a bit and realized how I missed this gorgeous stuff - Comfy and sunny right from the start! When I woke up I felt so much better than usual and motivated. Not coincidentally, the last time I felt this peak was around the first week of July which *drumroll* was the last time we hit 30C/86F!! The correlation has no cracks. TWN still has me at 30C/ Humidex 37 which is uncommonly higher than my station showing 29C. Ideal day to be out from dawn to dusk.
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I was getting worried for a sec until I saw the "F768" lol. I'm sitting at 13C still and hourlies show 21C by 11am, being reduced a tad. Skies mellowed out by some smoke
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Very rare blue skies day, no clouds at all anywhere in SON. Maybe haven't had this since first half of July. Soaking it in.
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I'm down to 6.8C/44F this morning, by far the coldest of the summer. Clear blue skies.
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Today was the 4th day of overcast crap that I've been dreading to see make itself again. TWN forecast completely flopped showing partly cloudy, early this morning it was dark with thicc canopy. Got this blast of rain coming from the north at noon that also sucked. The last 4 days my forecast was completely wrong and its been awful. The sun came out at 5pm today so got something.
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2023 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Torchageddon replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Michigan's no EF4+ streak is safe! -
Got my 9th t-storm first thing this morning, 13mm of rain with even a little hail briefly. Good rumbles of thud on the first. Lowest light of 170 lux around 9am. More cells rolled through so now up to 24mm just for this morning. Thursday this year is the day of the week I'm getting all my storms, even before today I noticed . There is a potent cell heading for northern Waterloo currently that is svr warned for toonie sized hail. Looks like a strong hail core:
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2023 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Torchageddon replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Had my first bad storm in years, it was borderline svr but not officially. What I noticed is the rare direction it was coming in from: NNW. My best LES bands also come from that vector. 580 lightning strikes in less than a hour, 90 during 5 min intervals at peak (9pm). There was actual structure as it approached with defined shelf features and inflow. The lightning was all cc but very bright and flicker-like. The ambiance was amazing as that fat cell came in, haven't felt excited for a storm in so long. I could hear pingers as I got large pea-sized hail for a min. Largest hail here so far this decade, I got larger Mar 2012. Wind was decent but nothing crazy. I got nearly an inch within mins. There were stronger hail cores not far from me just like Sep 7 2021. Best storm of 2023 beating Apr 5 overnight. -
The worst of the smoke here was in May. Didn't have any today.
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I didn't get any storm (again) overnight but 15 strikes distantly. I overachieved on rain getting 27mm or 1 inch in the morning. I was suppose to clear up by 10am with a chance of shower til 5pm but its been overcast just til now. TWN hourlies were abysmal.