Will - Rutgers
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Everything posted by Will - Rutgers
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should've rented a boat -
I’m seeing 105?
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guys please can we ignore that fruit loop and his Twitter and his gofundme. i would rather read shitposts about radar attenuation
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i mean, it's pitch black, the storm is raging, and the water is high and rising. how the hell is anyone supposed to do anything, right?
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nobody really gets out alive here, there looks like a sharp cutoff well north of the area and everyone inside of this 150?+ mile band gets 3+
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- heavy rain
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feeling substantially less confident about my original post
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my meteorology degree came from a box of Lucky Charms i bought in 2013 but i'd like to venture a guess, weaker jet streams, and a more zonal flow regime. to wit: https://www.wunderground.com/maps/wind/jet-stream and if you look at the national forecast map there's no features to help pick this up, like a passing trough, and i guess that big high over Georgia is also helping hold this back https://www.weather.gov/forecastmaps it's fun trying to figure these things out but i know like 1% of what the board mets do...
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it's just crazy how many of the big storms over the last decade or so 1) have RI'd right up to landfall and 2) have basically stopped moving shortly after landfall
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those of you in NNJ will need flotation devices if these maps verify.
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even adjusted for inflation that seems very unlikely although i'm sure the infrastructure at Port Fourchon is quite expensive. one wonders how the area's infrastructure has been hardened since Katrina. look, Katrina destroyed New Orleans, a major American city, and Ida simply isn't taking that kind of path. we'll see though.
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it's just the whole "oh my gorsh the car warsh" kind of experience Jokko really is an arrogant clown though, "i'm doing this for the science" lol
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Jokko is like a Great Value Jeff Pietrowski
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yeah for sure idk they might be 100-120 mph gusts just eyeballing it.
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lol this absolute colossal dipshit is walking his dogs in the middle of this eyewall, i genuinely do not understand what goes through people's heads. he is going to die out there. meanwhile the guy streaming is on the phone with someone saying he's recording gusts up to 200 mph. which, idk maybe that seems high to be but whatever. the spirit is there. 200 mph gusts, gonna go walk my dogs. edit: idk what i'm thinking, there's no way these are 200 mph gusts lmao
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if it makes you feel any better, the success of this camera guarantees someone will do this again for the next Cat4/5. probably put it up a bit higher on the pole. that thing was going to last all day if the ocean didn't get to it.
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how the f is this cell phone sending live video from Atlantis and i can't even make a call with AT&T in central Jersey standing in the middle of an open field
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7' above the ground, and Grand Isle is 7' above sea level
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yeah i don't think i've ever seen footage like this, this thing is in an EF3 washing machine and it's still transmitting. i still see the shape of the house in the background. but for the most part the camera is solidly in the drink.
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things in Grand Isle are about to go into 5th gear
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Grand Isle itself is 7' above sea level, so i guess 14'. though right now the sea level is rising quickly. actually it's pretty hard to see much of anything with all the spray and waves. the house in the background is still standing but i'm just kind of watching to see if it outlasts the camera. really can't believe anyone would choose not to evacuate with these conditions coming but i say that every big storm
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starting to see much more and larger debris on the Grand Isle cam i think i read on YouTube the camera is at 7 feet feed briefly glitched, wonder how much more time its got
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the good news is if the storm destroys one Waffle House there’s still four more within a five mile radius.
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the TC is its own environment though isn't it. i mean, it's the TC's moisture, and any forcing due to adjacent air masses, to get your rain totals. even if there's an mT airmass overhead ahead of the TC, wouldn't its moisture pale in comparison to the TC itself? what i'm saying is, as this thing crosses, is it going to drop a huge band of 4"+? i'm definitely not saying that can't happen but that's pretty crazy for a TC that's not stuck in some weird flow regime that just gets stuck over here. the rain map definitely shows it coming in and out in a pretty smooth fashion. i think extratropical storms tend to move faster than modeled.
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i feel like the spirit is correct but this will end up overdone--a corridor of 3-inch rains as wide as Jersey is long? one of the more aggressive post-tropical cyclone forecasts i've seen up here especially for something landfalling so far away.
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you know, if anyone on this board was a train guy, i would've guessed you, uncle. maybe bluewave too my favorite part of Stelton is the railroad crossing with three lights within maybe an eighth of a mile of each other. i'm not gonna bore everyone but there's like fifty things f'd up about that area, there's an abrupt left turn-only lane that screws up everyone, borderline suicidal traffic patterns, and to top it all off there's that Raceway gas station that's sitting 30 feet from a yield sign everyone ignores. it's completely bonkers how many shitty elements of traffic design are in one place. love you bb <3 forky can only play himself, this is known
